Current numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS and regional guidance, points to a maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure that favors clearer or partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southerly or southwesterly winds, and limited precipitation risk. This setup advects slightly warmer air masses following recent variability, aligning with late-August climatology where daily highs typically average 23–25°C but can reach the upper 20s under stable anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26–27°C because ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with lower probabilities for 28°C reflecting occasional model runs showing modest additional warming and minimal support for extremes below 25°C given the current thermal profile. Updated model runs and official IMGW briefings over the next 24–48 hours will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
27°C 45%
26°C 31%
28°C 30%
25°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
19%
26°C
31%
27°C
45%
28°C
30%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 31%
28°C 30%
25°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$15 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
4%
23°C
$0 Обс.
4%
24°C
$0 Обс.
6%
25°C
$0 Обс.
19%
26°C
$7 Обс.
31%
27°C
$52 Обс.
45%
28°C
$0 Обс.
30%
29°C
$0 Обс.
6%
30°C
$0 Обс.
6%
31°C or higher
$11 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS and regional guidance, points to a maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure that favors clearer or partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southerly or southwesterly winds, and limited precipitation risk. This setup advects slightly warmer air masses following recent variability, aligning with late-August climatology where daily highs typically average 23–25°C but can reach the upper 20s under stable anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26–27°C because ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with lower probabilities for 28°C reflecting occasional model runs showing modest additional warming and minimal support for extremes below 25°C given the current thermal profile. Updated model runs and official IMGW briefings over the next 24–48 hours will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$85Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS and regional guidance, points to a maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure that favors clearer or partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southerly or southwesterly winds, and limited precipitation risk. This setup advects slightly warmer air masses following recent variability, aligning with late-August climatology where daily highs typically average 23–25°C but can reach the upper 20s under stable anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26–27°C because ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with lower probabilities for 28°C reflecting occasional model runs showing modest additional warming and minimal support for extremes below 25°C given the current thermal profile. Updated model runs and official IMGW briefings over the next 24–48 hours will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$85Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction consensus, including GFS and regional guidance, points to a maximum of 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30 under building high pressure that favors clearer or partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southerly or southwesterly winds, and limited precipitation risk. This setup advects slightly warmer air masses following recent variability, aligning with late-August climatology where daily highs typically average 23–25°C but can reach the upper 20s under stable anticyclonic conditions. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26–27°C because ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with lower probabilities for 28°C reflecting occasional model runs showing modest additional warming and minimal support for extremes below 25°C given the current thermal profile. Updated model runs and official IMGW briefings over the next 24–48 hours will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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