Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Beijing's August 30 high will likely reach 30–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light northwest flow, with negligible precipitation risk. Subtle differences in projected ridge strength, daytime boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage create narrow uncertainty bands that explain the nearly equal 18.5 % market-implied odds across 29–33 °C. Historical late-August climatology (average high ~30 °C) and current above-normal warmth reinforce the tight clustering, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine peak temperature expectations ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
33°C 35%
32°C 29%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
29%
33°C
35%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 35%
32°C 29%
34°C 17%
31°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
27°C
$0 Обс.
4%
28°C
$0 Обс.
4%
29°C
$0 Обс.
7%
30°C
$22 Обс.
7%
31°C
$28 Обс.
14%
32°C
$0 Обс.
29%
33°C
$23 Обс.
35%
34°C
$11 Обс.
17%
35°C
$0 Обс.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Beijing's August 30 high will likely reach 30–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light northwest flow, with negligible precipitation risk. Subtle differences in projected ridge strength, daytime boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage create narrow uncertainty bands that explain the nearly equal 18.5 % market-implied odds across 29–33 °C. Historical late-August climatology (average high ~30 °C) and current above-normal warmth reinforce the tight clustering, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine peak temperature expectations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$84Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Beijing's August 30 high will likely reach 30–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light northwest flow, with negligible precipitation risk. Subtle differences in projected ridge strength, daytime boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage create narrow uncertainty bands that explain the nearly equal 18.5 % market-implied odds across 29–33 °C. Historical late-August climatology (average high ~30 °C) and current above-normal warmth reinforce the tight clustering, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine peak temperature expectations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$84Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Beijing's August 30 high will likely reach 30–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light northwest flow, with negligible precipitation risk. Subtle differences in projected ridge strength, daytime boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage create narrow uncertainty bands that explain the nearly equal 18.5 % market-implied odds across 29–33 °C. Historical late-August climatology (average high ~30 °C) and current above-normal warmth reinforce the tight clustering, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine peak temperature expectations ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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