**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate southwesterly flow are keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 21–23 °C for August 29, 2026, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward 22 °C (49.5 % implied probability).** Official guidance from KNMI and ensemble output from ECMWF and GFS models show daytime highs stabilizing around 22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwest winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions suppress strong surface heating while preventing significant cooling, producing a narrow temperature distribution that favors 21–23 °C outcomes. Historical late-August normals at nearby Schiphol average roughly 22 °C, providing additional context for the current model consensus. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, so trader positioning closely tracks the latest model runs and KNMI briefings, with probabilities reflecting the modest uncertainty range typical of short-range mid-latitude summer forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
22°C 50%
23°C 33%
21°C 16%
24°C 3%
НОВЕ
$10,484 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,484 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
16%
22°C
50%
23°C
33%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 33%
21°C 16%
24°C 3%
НОВЕ
$10,484 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,484 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$217 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$340 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$352 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$1,967 Обс.
1%
21°C
$1,546 Обс.
16%
22°C
$1,765 Обс.
50%
23°C
$2,480 Обс.
33%
24°C
$1,020 Обс.
3%
25°C
$177 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$321 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$325 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate southwesterly flow are keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 21–23 °C for August 29, 2026, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward 22 °C (49.5 % implied probability).**
Official guidance from KNMI and ensemble output from ECMWF and GFS models show daytime highs stabilizing around 22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwest winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions suppress strong surface heating while preventing significant cooling, producing a narrow temperature distribution that favors 21–23 °C outcomes. Historical late-August normals at nearby Schiphol average roughly 22 °C, providing additional context for the current model consensus.
No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, so trader positioning closely tracks the latest model runs and KNMI briefings, with probabilities reflecting the modest uncertainty range typical of short-range mid-latitude summer forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,484Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate southwesterly flow are keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 21–23 °C for August 29, 2026, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward 22 °C (49.5 % implied probability).**
Official guidance from KNMI and ensemble output from ECMWF and GFS models show daytime highs stabilizing around 22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwest winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions suppress strong surface heating while preventing significant cooling, producing a narrow temperature distribution that favors 21–23 °C outcomes. Historical late-August normals at nearby Schiphol average roughly 22 °C, providing additional context for the current model consensus.
No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, so trader positioning closely tracks the latest model runs and KNMI briefings, with probabilities reflecting the modest uncertainty range typical of short-range mid-latitude summer forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,484Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and moderate southwesterly flow are keeping maximum temperatures in Amsterdam centered near 21–23 °C for August 29, 2026, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward 22 °C (49.5 % implied probability).** Official guidance from KNMI and ensemble output from ECMWF and GFS models show daytime highs stabilizing around 22 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwest winds of 10–16 mph. These conditions suppress strong surface heating while preventing significant cooling, producing a narrow temperature distribution that favors 21–23 °C outcomes. Historical late-August normals at nearby Schiphol average roughly 22 °C, providing additional context for the current model consensus. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, so trader positioning closely tracks the latest model runs and KNMI briefings, with probabilities reflecting the modest uncertainty range typical of short-range mid-latitude summer forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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