Recent model consensus from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS places Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 near 15–17 °C under continued southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds of 6–8 m/s limit nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air keeps dew points elevated around 14–16 °C. Official KNMI guidance currently favors a 15 °C floor, whereas some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could permit a dip to 16–17 °C or hold readings near 17 °C if showers arrive later. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities mirrors this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by small differences in overnight cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution runs and the 00 UTC cycle will provide the next decisive data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
15°C 31%
16°C 29%
17°C 27%
18°C 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
31%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
15°C 31%
16°C 29%
17°C 27%
18°C 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Обс.
4%
13°C
$64 Обс.
15%
14°C
$0 Обс.
9%
15°C
$0 Обс.
31%
16°C
$0 Обс.
29%
17°C
$0 Обс.
27%
18°C
$0 Обс.
25%
19°C
$5 Обс.
15%
20°C
$5 Обс.
8%
21°C
$5 Обс.
2%
22°C or higher
$5 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS places Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 near 15–17 °C under continued southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds of 6–8 m/s limit nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air keeps dew points elevated around 14–16 °C. Official KNMI guidance currently favors a 15 °C floor, whereas some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could permit a dip to 16–17 °C or hold readings near 17 °C if showers arrive later. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities mirrors this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by small differences in overnight cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution runs and the 00 UTC cycle will provide the next decisive data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$89Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS places Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 near 15–17 °C under continued southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds of 6–8 m/s limit nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air keeps dew points elevated around 14–16 °C. Official KNMI guidance currently favors a 15 °C floor, whereas some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could permit a dip to 16–17 °C or hold readings near 17 °C if showers arrive later. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities mirrors this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by small differences in overnight cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution runs and the 00 UTC cycle will provide the next decisive data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$89Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from KNMI, ECMWF, and GFS places Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on August 29 near 15–17 °C under continued southwesterly flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds of 6–8 m/s limit nocturnal radiative cooling while mild maritime air keeps dew points elevated around 14–16 °C. Official KNMI guidance currently favors a 15 °C floor, whereas some ensemble members allow brief clearing that could permit a dip to 16–17 °C or hold readings near 17 °C if showers arrive later. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities mirrors this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by small differences in overnight cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing. Updated high-resolution runs and the 00 UTC cycle will provide the next decisive data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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