**Recent forecasts from official sources like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple models show expected overnight lows of 12–14°C for Mexico City on August 30, shaped by the ongoing wet-season pattern of cloud cover, showers, and light winds at the city's high elevation (~2,240 m).** Persistent rain and overcast skies reduce radiational cooling by trapping heat near the surface while limiting daytime heating, keeping the diurnal range narrow and preventing sharper drops below ~11°C. Model spreads arise from variable timing of cloud breaks or storm outflows that could allow brief clearer periods and modest additional cooling, explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 12–14°C outcomes versus the lower-probability extremes. Historical August minima near 13–14°C provide context, with current conditions aligning closely to recent observed lows amid above-normal precipitation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
6°C or below 60%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
60%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
24%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C or higher
24%
6°C or below 60%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$17 Обс.
60%
7°C
$69 Обс.
2%
8°C
$16 Обс.
5%
9°C
$6 Обс.
5%
10°C
$0 Обс.
24%
11°C
$0 Обс.
26%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
27%
14°C
$0 Обс.
27%
15°C
$0 Обс.
25%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from official sources like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple models show expected overnight lows of 12–14°C for Mexico City on August 30, shaped by the ongoing wet-season pattern of cloud cover, showers, and light winds at the city's high elevation (~2,240 m).** Persistent rain and overcast skies reduce radiational cooling by trapping heat near the surface while limiting daytime heating, keeping the diurnal range narrow and preventing sharper drops below ~11°C. Model spreads arise from variable timing of cloud breaks or storm outflows that could allow brief clearer periods and modest additional cooling, explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 12–14°C outcomes versus the lower-probability extremes. Historical August minima near 13–14°C provide context, with current conditions aligning closely to recent observed lows amid above-normal precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$108Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from official sources like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple models show expected overnight lows of 12–14°C for Mexico City on August 30, shaped by the ongoing wet-season pattern of cloud cover, showers, and light winds at the city's high elevation (~2,240 m).** Persistent rain and overcast skies reduce radiational cooling by trapping heat near the surface while limiting daytime heating, keeping the diurnal range narrow and preventing sharper drops below ~11°C. Model spreads arise from variable timing of cloud breaks or storm outflows that could allow brief clearer periods and modest additional cooling, explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 12–14°C outcomes versus the lower-probability extremes. Historical August minima near 13–14°C provide context, with current conditions aligning closely to recent observed lows amid above-normal precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$108Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from official sources like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple models show expected overnight lows of 12–14°C for Mexico City on August 30, shaped by the ongoing wet-season pattern of cloud cover, showers, and light winds at the city's high elevation (~2,240 m).** Persistent rain and overcast skies reduce radiational cooling by trapping heat near the surface while limiting daytime heating, keeping the diurnal range narrow and preventing sharper drops below ~11°C. Model spreads arise from variable timing of cloud breaks or storm outflows that could allow brief clearer periods and modest additional cooling, explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 12–14°C outcomes versus the lower-probability extremes. Historical August minima near 13–14°C provide context, with current conditions aligning closely to recent observed lows amid above-normal precipitation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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