Current atmospheric patterns, including moisture advection and weak frontal boundaries across the eastern and central U.S., drive the probability of measurable precipitation on August 30. National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms likely in the Southeast and Midwest, with lower chances in the Southwest and Pacific Northwest, consistent with late-summer climatology of diurnal convection. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact coverage due to steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, while official observations from prior days confirm active thunderstorm activity in similar regimes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus NWS short-term forecasts will provide the latest refinements before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhere will it rain on August 30?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
15%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$1 Обс.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
15%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Current atmospheric patterns, including moisture advection and weak frontal boundaries across the eastern and central U.S., drive the probability of measurable precipitation on August 30. National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance indicate scattered showers and thunderstorms likely in the Southeast and Midwest, with lower chances in the Southwest and Pacific Northwest, consistent with late-summer climatology of diurnal convection. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in exact coverage due to steering flow and boundary-layer moisture, while official observations from prior days confirm active thunderstorm activity in similar regimes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus NWS short-term forecasts will provide the latest refinements before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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