Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show Seattle transitioning from a cool, showery trough to mostly sunny conditions on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 70–72 °F amid light northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 74–77 °F outcomes, where traders price modest warming above recent below-normal readings while accounting for residual cloud timing and marine influence that could cap peaks near the long-term average of 74.5 °F. Model consensus remains stable but carries typical 2–4 °F uncertainty ranges two days out, with next official updates likely refining the thermal profile ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on August 31?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 31?
74-75°F 38%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 21%
70-71°F 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 38%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 21%
70-71°F 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
63°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
7%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
7%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
16%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
17%
72-73°F
$74 Обс.
21%
74-75°F
$8 Обс.
30%
76-77°F
$10 Обс.
28%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
7%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
82°F or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show Seattle transitioning from a cool, showery trough to mostly sunny conditions on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 70–72 °F amid light northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 74–77 °F outcomes, where traders price modest warming above recent below-normal readings while accounting for residual cloud timing and marine influence that could cap peaks near the long-term average of 74.5 °F. Model consensus remains stable but carries typical 2–4 °F uncertainty ranges two days out, with next official updates likely refining the thermal profile ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$92Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show Seattle transitioning from a cool, showery trough to mostly sunny conditions on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 70–72 °F amid light northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 74–77 °F outcomes, where traders price modest warming above recent below-normal readings while accounting for residual cloud timing and marine influence that could cap peaks near the long-term average of 74.5 °F. Model consensus remains stable but carries typical 2–4 °F uncertainty ranges two days out, with next official updates likely refining the thermal profile ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$92Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show Seattle transitioning from a cool, showery trough to mostly sunny conditions on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 70–72 °F amid light northerly winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 74–77 °F outcomes, where traders price modest warming above recent below-normal readings while accounting for residual cloud timing and marine influence that could cap peaks near the long-term average of 74.5 °F. Model consensus remains stable but carries typical 2–4 °F uncertainty ranges two days out, with next official updates likely refining the thermal profile ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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