Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a typical late-summer marine layer over San Francisco on August 31, with southwest to west winds of 10–20 mph and mostly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling overnight. Official forecasts converge on an overnight low in the upper 50s, near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 56–59°F bins. Subtle differences among ensemble members hinge on the depth and timing of the marine layer and any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger cooling toward 54–55°F or hold readings closer to 60°F. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 34%
54-55°F 26%
62-63°F 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
2%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
2%
66°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 34%
54-55°F 26%
62-63°F 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$150 Обс.
2%
48-49°F
$85 Обс.
3%
50-51°F
$116 Обс.
7%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
24%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
26%
56-57°F
$18 Обс.
34%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
37%
60-61°F
$20 Обс.
22%
62-63°F
$28 Обс.
25%
64-65°F
$423 Обс.
2%
66°F or higher
$221 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a typical late-summer marine layer over San Francisco on August 31, with southwest to west winds of 10–20 mph and mostly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling overnight. Official forecasts converge on an overnight low in the upper 50s, near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 56–59°F bins. Subtle differences among ensemble members hinge on the depth and timing of the marine layer and any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger cooling toward 54–55°F or hold readings closer to 60°F. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,061Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a typical late-summer marine layer over San Francisco on August 31, with southwest to west winds of 10–20 mph and mostly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling overnight. Official forecasts converge on an overnight low in the upper 50s, near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 56–59°F bins. Subtle differences among ensemble members hinge on the depth and timing of the marine layer and any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger cooling toward 54–55°F or hold readings closer to 60°F. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,061Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a typical late-summer marine layer over San Francisco on August 31, with southwest to west winds of 10–20 mph and mostly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling overnight. Official forecasts converge on an overnight low in the upper 50s, near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 56–59°F bins. Subtle differences among ensemble members hinge on the depth and timing of the marine layer and any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger cooling toward 54–55°F or hold readings closer to 60°F. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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