Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a Seattle high on September 1 near 72–75°F under partly sunny to overcast skies with light southerly flow and possible marine layer influence. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 74–75°F (28.5%) and 72–73°F (25.5%), as traders weigh ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Clearer conditions would favor the upper range through greater solar insolation and reduced evaporative cooling, while thicker stratus or earlier marine push could cap readings in the low 70s by limiting daytime heating by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data from the National Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on September 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 1?
72-73°F 51%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 19%
70-71°F 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
51%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
16%
82°F or higher
13%
72-73°F 51%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 19%
70-71°F 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
63°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$20 Обс.
3%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
6%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
11%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
18%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
51%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
16%
82°F or higher
$7 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a Seattle high on September 1 near 72–75°F under partly sunny to overcast skies with light southerly flow and possible marine layer influence. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 74–75°F (28.5%) and 72–73°F (25.5%), as traders weigh ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Clearer conditions would favor the upper range through greater solar insolation and reduced evaporative cooling, while thicker stratus or earlier marine push could cap readings in the low 70s by limiting daytime heating by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data from the National Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$27Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a Seattle high on September 1 near 72–75°F under partly sunny to overcast skies with light southerly flow and possible marine layer influence. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 74–75°F (28.5%) and 72–73°F (25.5%), as traders weigh ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Clearer conditions would favor the upper range through greater solar insolation and reduced evaporative cooling, while thicker stratus or earlier marine push could cap readings in the low 70s by limiting daytime heating by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data from the National Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a Seattle high on September 1 near 72–75°F under partly sunny to overcast skies with light southerly flow and possible marine layer influence. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 74–75°F (28.5%) and 72–73°F (25.5%), as traders weigh ensemble spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Clearer conditions would favor the upper range through greater solar insolation and reduced evaporative cooling, while thicker stratus or earlier marine push could cap readings in the low 70s by limiting daytime heating by several degrees. Updated model runs and observational data from the National Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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