Recent numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models show Munich under weak high-pressure influence with westerly flow advecting mild maritime air, producing mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk on August 30. Daytime solar heating under these conditions supports afternoon maxima clustered around 26–27 °C, several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.6 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited upside potential for 28 °C or higher unless boundary-layer mixing strengthens more than currently indicated. This model consensus underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on 27 °C and 26 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of the most probable realized maximum given stable steering patterns and the short time remaining before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 30?
27°C 39%
26°C 25%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
39%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 39%
26°C 25%
28°C 16%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
39%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF, ICON, and DWD models show Munich under weak high-pressure influence with westerly flow advecting mild maritime air, producing mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk on August 30. Daytime solar heating under these conditions supports afternoon maxima clustered around 26–27 °C, several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.6 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited upside potential for 28 °C or higher unless boundary-layer mixing strengthens more than currently indicated. This model consensus underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on 27 °C and 26 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of the most probable realized maximum given stable steering patterns and the short time remaining before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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