Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on August 30 around 15–16 °C, driven by weak southwesterly flow under a building ridge that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Partial cloud cover and dew points near 12–13 °C will moderate the drop from daytime highs near 25–26 °C, preventing deeper cooling that might occur under clear, calm conditions. The spread in market-implied probabilities across 12–16 °C reflects ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, with historical August 30 lows averaging 12.6 °C but recent westerly patterns favoring milder outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in these key variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
12°C or below 82%
14°C 34%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
82%
13°C
17%
14°C
34%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
9%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
12°C or below 82%
14°C 34%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
82%
13°C
$0 Обс.
17%
14°C
$0 Обс.
34%
15°C
$0 Обс.
28%
16°C
$0 Обс.
26%
17°C
$0 Обс.
9%
18°C
$5 Обс.
14%
19°C
$5 Обс.
2%
20°C
$5 Обс.
1%
21°C
$5 Обс.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on August 30 around 15–16 °C, driven by weak southwesterly flow under a building ridge that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Partial cloud cover and dew points near 12–13 °C will moderate the drop from daytime highs near 25–26 °C, preventing deeper cooling that might occur under clear, calm conditions. The spread in market-implied probabilities across 12–16 °C reflects ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, with historical August 30 lows averaging 12.6 °C but recent westerly patterns favoring milder outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in these key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on August 30 around 15–16 °C, driven by weak southwesterly flow under a building ridge that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Partial cloud cover and dew points near 12–13 °C will moderate the drop from daytime highs near 25–26 °C, preventing deeper cooling that might occur under clear, calm conditions. The spread in market-implied probabilities across 12–16 °C reflects ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, with historical August 30 lows averaging 12.6 °C but recent westerly patterns favoring milder outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in these key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on August 30 around 15–16 °C, driven by weak southwesterly flow under a building ridge that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Partial cloud cover and dew points near 12–13 °C will moderate the drop from daytime highs near 25–26 °C, preventing deeper cooling that might occur under clear, calm conditions. The spread in market-implied probabilities across 12–16 °C reflects ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, with historical August 30 lows averaging 12.6 °C but recent westerly patterns favoring milder outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in these key variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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