Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Friday high in the mid-90s for Houston as the longstanding heat ridge shifts westward, ending a multi-day stretch above 100°F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% introduce key uncertainty, with earlier or stronger convection potentially increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and capping the daily maximum below 95°F. This balance explains the near-even market split between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the limited but realistic risk of greater suppression or brief intensification under variable steering flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 28?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 28?
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 38%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 39%
94-95°F 38%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
81°F or below
$29 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$29 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$29 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$29 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$7 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$45 Обс.
16%
92-93°F
$146 Обс.
39%
94-95°F
$54 Обс.
38%
96-97°F
$156 Обс.
6%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
1%
100°F or higher
$39 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Friday high in the mid-90s for Houston as the longstanding heat ridge shifts westward, ending a multi-day stretch above 100°F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% introduce key uncertainty, with earlier or stronger convection potentially increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and capping the daily maximum below 95°F. This balance explains the near-even market split between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the limited but realistic risk of greater suppression or brief intensification under variable steering flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$564Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Friday high in the mid-90s for Houston as the longstanding heat ridge shifts westward, ending a multi-day stretch above 100°F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% introduce key uncertainty, with earlier or stronger convection potentially increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and capping the daily maximum below 95°F. This balance explains the near-even market split between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the limited but realistic risk of greater suppression or brief intensification under variable steering flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$564Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Friday high in the mid-90s for Houston as the longstanding heat ridge shifts westward, ending a multi-day stretch above 100°F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% introduce key uncertainty, with earlier or stronger convection potentially increasing cloud cover, enhancing evaporative cooling, and capping the daily maximum below 95°F. This balance explains the near-even market split between the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins, while lower-probability outcomes reflect the limited but realistic risk of greater suppression or brief intensification under variable steering flow. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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