Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF positions Madrid's August 29 maximum near 30–31°C, driven by building high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow after a cooler late-August spell. Official observations show recent daily highs stabilizing in the mid-20s to low-30s Celsius amid drier conditions, with limited moisture and minimal cloud cover supporting modest daytime warming but no significant heat advection. This alignment explains the market's heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes, while the narrow spread reflects low forecast uncertainty and resolution based on official station readings at day's end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
31°C 56%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
35%
31°C
56%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$336 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$182 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$182 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$172 Обс.
2%
29°C
$557 Обс.
3%
30°C
$1,684 Обс.
35%
31°C
$1,451 Обс.
56%
32°C
$428 Обс.
7%
33°C
$399 Обс.
2%
34°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$121 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF positions Madrid's August 29 maximum near 30–31°C, driven by building high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow after a cooler late-August spell. Official observations show recent daily highs stabilizing in the mid-20s to low-30s Celsius amid drier conditions, with limited moisture and minimal cloud cover supporting modest daytime warming but no significant heat advection. This alignment explains the market's heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes, while the narrow spread reflects low forecast uncertainty and resolution based on official station readings at day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,636Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF positions Madrid's August 29 maximum near 30–31°C, driven by building high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow after a cooler late-August spell. Official observations show recent daily highs stabilizing in the mid-20s to low-30s Celsius amid drier conditions, with limited moisture and minimal cloud cover supporting modest daytime warming but no significant heat advection. This alignment explains the market's heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes, while the narrow spread reflects low forecast uncertainty and resolution based on official station readings at day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,636Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF positions Madrid's August 29 maximum near 30–31°C, driven by building high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow after a cooler late-August spell. Official observations show recent daily highs stabilizing in the mid-20s to low-30s Celsius amid drier conditions, with limited moisture and minimal cloud cover supporting modest daytime warming but no significant heat advection. This alignment explains the market's heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes, while the narrow spread reflects low forecast uncertainty and resolution based on official station readings at day's end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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