Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid's minimum on August 29 will likely fall between 14–18°C under clearing skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling overnight, following recent daytime highs near 25–30°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from subtle variations in dew points and boundary-layer mixing, with cooler outcomes favored if calm conditions persist into the early morning hours. Historical August minima average near 18°C, but trader consensus on 11–13°C bins reflects weighting toward the lower tail of model guidance and potential for localized cooling in the urban heat island. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
11°C or below 39%
13°C 32%
12°C 29%
14°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
39%
12°C
29%
13°C
32%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
15%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
11°C or below 39%
13°C 32%
12°C 29%
14°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
29%
13°C
$0 Обс.
32%
14°C
$0 Обс.
26%
15°C
$0 Обс.
25%
16°C
$0 Обс.
25%
17°C
$0 Обс.
25%
18°C
$5 Обс.
15%
19°C
$5 Обс.
8%
20°C
$5 Обс.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid's minimum on August 29 will likely fall between 14–18°C under clearing skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling overnight, following recent daytime highs near 25–30°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from subtle variations in dew points and boundary-layer mixing, with cooler outcomes favored if calm conditions persist into the early morning hours. Historical August minima average near 18°C, but trader consensus on 11–13°C bins reflects weighting toward the lower tail of model guidance and potential for localized cooling in the urban heat island. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid's minimum on August 29 will likely fall between 14–18°C under clearing skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling overnight, following recent daytime highs near 25–30°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from subtle variations in dew points and boundary-layer mixing, with cooler outcomes favored if calm conditions persist into the early morning hours. Historical August minima average near 18°C, but trader consensus on 11–13°C bins reflects weighting toward the lower tail of model guidance and potential for localized cooling in the urban heat island. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid's minimum on August 29 will likely fall between 14–18°C under clearing skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling overnight, following recent daytime highs near 25–30°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from subtle variations in dew points and boundary-layer mixing, with cooler outcomes favored if calm conditions persist into the early morning hours. Historical August minima average near 18°C, but trader consensus on 11–13°C bins reflects weighting toward the lower tail of model guidance and potential for localized cooling in the urban heat island. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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