**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30 clusters tightly around 30–31°C because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory center on a 31°C maximum amid unsettled conditions.** A broad trough of low pressure is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity (75–95%) and mostly cloudy skies expected to limit peak solar heating despite light southwest winds. Recent model guidance and HKO outlooks consistently project a daytime high near 31°C, though localized variations in storm timing or intensity could nudge the official reading to 30°C or allow brief clearing that supports 32°C. Historical late-August baselines around 31°C provide context, but the near-term forecast uncertainty—particularly regarding rainfall distribution—keeps the two leading outcomes nearly even in market-implied probability. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations on the day will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 31%
31°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
31%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$125 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$476 Обс.
4%
29°C
$21 Обс.
16%
30°C
$231 Обс.
31%
31°C
$62 Обс.
30%
32°C
$323 Обс.
16%
33°C
$105 Обс.
4%
34°C
$100 Обс.
2%
35°C
$38 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30 clusters tightly around 30–31°C because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory center on a 31°C maximum amid unsettled conditions.** A broad trough of low pressure is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity (75–95%) and mostly cloudy skies expected to limit peak solar heating despite light southwest winds. Recent model guidance and HKO outlooks consistently project a daytime high near 31°C, though localized variations in storm timing or intensity could nudge the official reading to 30°C or allow brief clearing that supports 32°C. Historical late-August baselines around 31°C provide context, but the near-term forecast uncertainty—particularly regarding rainfall distribution—keeps the two leading outcomes nearly even in market-implied probability. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations on the day will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,726Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30 clusters tightly around 30–31°C because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory center on a 31°C maximum amid unsettled conditions.** A broad trough of low pressure is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity (75–95%) and mostly cloudy skies expected to limit peak solar heating despite light southwest winds. Recent model guidance and HKO outlooks consistently project a daytime high near 31°C, though localized variations in storm timing or intensity could nudge the official reading to 30°C or allow brief clearing that supports 32°C. Historical late-August baselines around 31°C provide context, but the near-term forecast uncertainty—particularly regarding rainfall distribution—keeps the two leading outcomes nearly even in market-implied probability. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations on the day will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,726Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30 clusters tightly around 30–31°C because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory center on a 31°C maximum amid unsettled conditions.** A broad trough of low pressure is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with high humidity (75–95%) and mostly cloudy skies expected to limit peak solar heating despite light southwest winds. Recent model guidance and HKO outlooks consistently project a daytime high near 31°C, though localized variations in storm timing or intensity could nudge the official reading to 30°C or allow brief clearing that supports 32°C. Historical late-August baselines around 31°C provide context, but the near-term forecast uncertainty—particularly regarding rainfall distribution—keeps the two leading outcomes nearly even in market-implied probability. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations on the day will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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