Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C for August 30 amid a persistent low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with southwest winds of 2–3 and humidity of 75–95%. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies while allowing modest evaporative effects from rain, keeping the overnight low near the upper end of the typical late-August range. Trader consensus splits closely between 27°C and 26°C because ensemble models differ on exact shower timing and cloud persistence, which can shift the minimum by 1°C; lighter winds and partial clearing would favor the lower outcome, whereas sustained moisture and cloud cover support the higher one. Updated model runs and radar trends through the evening will refine resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
27°C 41%
26°C 37%
28°C 20%
25°C 15%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
15%
26°C
37%
27°C
41%
28°C
20%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 41%
26°C 37%
28°C 20%
25°C 15%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
15%
26°C
37%
27°C
41%
28°C
20%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum of 27°C for August 30 amid a persistent low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with southwest winds of 2–3 and humidity of 75–95%. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy skies while allowing modest evaporative effects from rain, keeping the overnight low near the upper end of the typical late-August range. Trader consensus splits closely between 27°C and 26°C because ensemble models differ on exact shower timing and cloud persistence, which can shift the minimum by 1°C; lighter winds and partial clearing would favor the lower outcome, whereas sustained moisture and cloud cover support the higher one. Updated model runs and radar trends through the evening will refine resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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