Current ensemble forecasts from global models show Mexico City's daily minimum on August 31 centering near 12–14°C, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation promoting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions of scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Afternoon convection and humidity from the rainy season limit extreme drops, while steering patterns keep cooler air masses at bay. Recent model runs exhibit tight clustering around these values with modest spread from local microclimates and timing of rainfall, explaining the market's tight grouping between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Historical August minima average near 13°C, reinforcing trader focus on subtle forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
7°C or below 59%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
7°C or below
59%
8°C
38%
9°C
30%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C or higher
47%
7°C or below 59%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
59%
8°C
$0 Обс.
38%
9°C
$0 Обс.
30%
10°C
$0 Обс.
49%
11°C
$0 Обс.
49%
12°C
$0 Обс.
25%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
26%
15°C
$0 Обс.
26%
16°C
$0 Обс.
49%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models show Mexico City's daily minimum on August 31 centering near 12–14°C, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation promoting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions of scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Afternoon convection and humidity from the rainy season limit extreme drops, while steering patterns keep cooler air masses at bay. Recent model runs exhibit tight clustering around these values with modest spread from local microclimates and timing of rainfall, explaining the market's tight grouping between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Historical August minima average near 13°C, reinforcing trader focus on subtle forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models show Mexico City's daily minimum on August 31 centering near 12–14°C, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation promoting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions of scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Afternoon convection and humidity from the rainy season limit extreme drops, while steering patterns keep cooler air masses at bay. Recent model runs exhibit tight clustering around these values with modest spread from local microclimates and timing of rainfall, explaining the market's tight grouping between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Historical August minima average near 13°C, reinforcing trader focus on subtle forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models show Mexico City's daily minimum on August 31 centering near 12–14°C, driven by the city's 2,240 m elevation promoting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions of scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. Afternoon convection and humidity from the rainy season limit extreme drops, while steering patterns keep cooler air masses at bay. Recent model runs exhibit tight clustering around these values with modest spread from local microclimates and timing of rainfall, explaining the market's tight grouping between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Historical August minima average near 13°C, reinforcing trader focus on subtle forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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