Current forecast consensus from global and regional models indicates overnight lows in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass following recent precipitation. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime highs around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological averages of 20°C for the date but below recent seasonal norms amid above-average August rainfall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures, with key variables including exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects. New model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
20°C 47%
19°C 45%
18°C 40%
21°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
40%
19°C
45%
20°C
47%
21°C
39%
22°C
37%
23°C
18%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
8%
20°C 47%
19°C 45%
18°C 40%
21°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
15°C or below
$22 Обс.
5%
16°C
$0 Обс.
16%
17°C
$0 Обс.
24%
18°C
$0 Обс.
40%
19°C
$0 Обс.
45%
20°C
$0 Обс.
47%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
37%
23°C
$0 Обс.
18%
24°C
$22 Обс.
2%
25°C or higher
$22 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models indicates overnight lows in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass following recent precipitation. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime highs around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological averages of 20°C for the date but below recent seasonal norms amid above-average August rainfall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures, with key variables including exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects. New model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models indicates overnight lows in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass following recent precipitation. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime highs around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological averages of 20°C for the date but below recent seasonal norms amid above-average August rainfall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures, with key variables including exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects. New model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global and regional models indicates overnight lows in Beijing on August 28 near 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass following recent precipitation. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime highs around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological averages of 20°C for the date but below recent seasonal norms amid above-average August rainfall. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures, with key variables including exact rainfall timing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects. New model runs and official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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