Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies highlight increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing through August 27, moderating radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. Trader consensus, with the 17°C-or-below outcome at 38% implied probability ahead of clustered 20–21°C options, reflects model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by 1–3°C depending on cloud persistence. Historical August baselines average around 20–22°C lows, making current steering patterns and humidity levels the key variables; updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
17°C or below 71%
18°C 47%
19°C 47%
23°C 47%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
71%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
22%
23°C
47%
24°C
2%
25°C
14%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
8%
17°C or below 71%
18°C 47%
19°C 47%
23°C 47%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
71%
18°C
$0 Обс.
47%
19°C
$0 Обс.
47%
20°C
$0 Обс.
31%
21°C
$0 Обс.
34%
22°C
$0 Обс.
22%
23°C
$0 Обс.
47%
24°C
$0 Обс.
2%
25°C
$0 Обс.
14%
26°C
$0 Обс.
11%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies highlight increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing through August 27, moderating radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. Trader consensus, with the 17°C-or-below outcome at 38% implied probability ahead of clustered 20–21°C options, reflects model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by 1–3°C depending on cloud persistence. Historical August baselines average around 20–22°C lows, making current steering patterns and humidity levels the key variables; updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies highlight increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing through August 27, moderating radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. Trader consensus, with the 17°C-or-below outcome at 38% implied probability ahead of clustered 20–21°C options, reflects model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by 1–3°C depending on cloud persistence. Historical August baselines average around 20–22°C lows, making current steering patterns and humidity levels the key variables; updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies highlight increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing through August 27, moderating radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. Trader consensus, with the 17°C-or-below outcome at 38% implied probability ahead of clustered 20–21°C options, reflects model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by 1–3°C depending on cloud persistence. Historical August baselines average around 20–22°C lows, making current steering patterns and humidity levels the key variables; updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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