Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts show Chicago under strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of mid-level ridging, with Monday’s high most likely falling in the upper 80s to low 90s. Variable morning cloud cover, gusty winds, and a modest chance of afternoon showers introduce meaningful spread across model runs, keeping implied probabilities evenly distributed from 86–95 °F. Official point forecasts sit near 88–90 °F, while historical late-August normals and recent heat-index trends support the potential for brief excursions above 90 °F if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and NWS forecast discussions through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 31?
90-91°F 33%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 20%
92-93°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
7%
90-91°F 33%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 20%
92-93°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
81°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
7%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
7%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
20%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
31%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
33%
92-93°F
$0 Обс.
19%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
7%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
7%
100°F or higher
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts show Chicago under strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of mid-level ridging, with Monday’s high most likely falling in the upper 80s to low 90s. Variable morning cloud cover, gusty winds, and a modest chance of afternoon showers introduce meaningful spread across model runs, keeping implied probabilities evenly distributed from 86–95 °F. Official point forecasts sit near 88–90 °F, while historical late-August normals and recent heat-index trends support the potential for brief excursions above 90 °F if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and NWS forecast discussions through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts show Chicago under strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of mid-level ridging, with Monday’s high most likely falling in the upper 80s to low 90s. Variable morning cloud cover, gusty winds, and a modest chance of afternoon showers introduce meaningful spread across model runs, keeping implied probabilities evenly distributed from 86–95 °F. Official point forecasts sit near 88–90 °F, while historical late-August normals and recent heat-index trends support the potential for brief excursions above 90 °F if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and NWS forecast discussions through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts show Chicago under strengthening southwesterly flow ahead of mid-level ridging, with Monday’s high most likely falling in the upper 80s to low 90s. Variable morning cloud cover, gusty winds, and a modest chance of afternoon showers introduce meaningful spread across model runs, keeping implied probabilities evenly distributed from 86–95 °F. Official point forecasts sit near 88–90 °F, while historical late-August normals and recent heat-index trends support the potential for brief excursions above 90 °F if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated model guidance and NWS forecast discussions through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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