Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on August 30 will likely settle near 22–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and residual moisture from Saturday’s rainfall. This pattern follows a brief cool-down on the 29th, when surface cooling under overcast conditions and higher dew points limited radiative warming overnight. Climatological normals for late August place minimum temperatures around 23 °C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline, with minimal risk of stronger advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings to 20 °C or below. The concentration of market-implied probability on 22 °C and 23 °C reflects trader assessment of these stable late-summer conditions ahead of the next frontal passage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
22°C 55%
21°C 26%
23°C 25%
20°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
15%
20°C
20%
21°C
26%
22°C
44%
23°C
25%
24°C
19%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
20%
22°C 55%
21°C 26%
23°C 25%
20°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
18°C
$5 Обс.
2%
19°C
$5 Обс.
15%
20°C
$0 Обс.
20%
21°C
$0 Обс.
26%
22°C
$84 Обс.
44%
23°C
$104 Обс.
25%
24°C
$5 Обс.
19%
25°C
$5 Обс.
8%
26°C
$5 Обс.
8%
27°C or higher
$5 Обс.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on August 30 will likely settle near 22–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and residual moisture from Saturday’s rainfall. This pattern follows a brief cool-down on the 29th, when surface cooling under overcast conditions and higher dew points limited radiative warming overnight. Climatological normals for late August place minimum temperatures around 23 °C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline, with minimal risk of stronger advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings to 20 °C or below. The concentration of market-implied probability on 22 °C and 23 °C reflects trader assessment of these stable late-summer conditions ahead of the next frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$224Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on August 30 will likely settle near 22–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and residual moisture from Saturday’s rainfall. This pattern follows a brief cool-down on the 29th, when surface cooling under overcast conditions and higher dew points limited radiative warming overnight. Climatological normals for late August place minimum temperatures around 23 °C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline, with minimal risk of stronger advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings to 20 °C or below. The concentration of market-implied probability on 22 °C and 23 °C reflects trader assessment of these stable late-summer conditions ahead of the next frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$224Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on August 30 will likely settle near 22–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly flow and residual moisture from Saturday’s rainfall. This pattern follows a brief cool-down on the 29th, when surface cooling under overcast conditions and higher dew points limited radiative warming overnight. Climatological normals for late August place minimum temperatures around 23 °C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited deviation from this baseline, with minimal risk of stronger advection or clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings to 20 °C or below. The concentration of market-implied probability on 22 °C and 23 °C reflects trader assessment of these stable late-summer conditions ahead of the next frontal passage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання