Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F) for Wellington on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with strong northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a persistent mild airflow off the Tasman Sea that has kept recent late-August maxima 2–4°C above the long-term average high of ~13°C. Strong insolation during the ~11-hour daylight period, combined with downslope warming over the North Island’s terrain, supports daytime peaks in the mid-teens Celsius. Trader consensus on 15–17°C outcomes (over 90% combined implied probability) reflects this pattern, while the low odds on 18°C+ or sub-14°C reflect limited upside from additional warming and the unlikelihood of a sharp southerly change before month-end. Final MetService guidance and any last-model runs on August 30 will be the key near-term drivers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
16°C 51%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
14°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
20%
16°C
51%
17°C
27%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
14°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$186 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$115 Обс.
1%
13°C
$127 Обс.
2%
14°C
$93 Обс.
4%
15°C
$365 Обс.
20%
16°C
$1,092 Обс.
51%
17°C
$198 Обс.
27%
18°C
$11 Обс.
1%
19°C
$142 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$196 Обс.
1%
21°C or higher
$186 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F) for Wellington on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with strong northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a persistent mild airflow off the Tasman Sea that has kept recent late-August maxima 2–4°C above the long-term average high of ~13°C. Strong insolation during the ~11-hour daylight period, combined with downslope warming over the North Island’s terrain, supports daytime peaks in the mid-teens Celsius. Trader consensus on 15–17°C outcomes (over 90% combined implied probability) reflects this pattern, while the low odds on 18°C+ or sub-14°C reflect limited upside from additional warming and the unlikelihood of a sharp southerly change before month-end. Final MetService guidance and any last-model runs on August 30 will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,710Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F) for Wellington on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with strong northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a persistent mild airflow off the Tasman Sea that has kept recent late-August maxima 2–4°C above the long-term average high of ~13°C. Strong insolation during the ~11-hour daylight period, combined with downslope warming over the North Island’s terrain, supports daytime peaks in the mid-teens Celsius. Trader consensus on 15–17°C outcomes (over 90% combined implied probability) reflects this pattern, while the low odds on 18°C+ or sub-14°C reflect limited upside from additional warming and the unlikelihood of a sharp southerly change before month-end. Final MetService guidance and any last-model runs on August 30 will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,710Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F) for Wellington on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with strong northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a persistent mild airflow off the Tasman Sea that has kept recent late-August maxima 2–4°C above the long-term average high of ~13°C. Strong insolation during the ~11-hour daylight period, combined with downslope warming over the North Island’s terrain, supports daytime peaks in the mid-teens Celsius. Trader consensus on 15–17°C outcomes (over 90% combined implied probability) reflects this pattern, while the low odds on 18°C+ or sub-14°C reflect limited upside from additional warming and the unlikelihood of a sharp southerly change before month-end. Final MetService guidance and any last-model runs on August 30 will be the key near-term drivers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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