**Trader consensus favoring 33°C (53.5% implied probability) for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 31 reflects the Meteorological Service Singapore fortnightly outlook for daily maxima of 33–34°C during the second half of August under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with a few days potentially reaching 35°C.** Recent observations show consistently above-normal highs (often 33–34°C, peaking at 34.3°C mid-month) amid below-average rainfall and enhanced insolation, reinforced by moderate-to-strong El Niño conditions that have sustained warmth and dryness across the Maritime Continent. Afternoon thundery showers remain possible but are not expected to substantially suppress the peak reading at the Changi reference station. Historical climatology places the typical August 31 maximum near 31°C, so the current elevated baseline and official guidance explain why 32°C and 34°C bracket the leading outcomes while lower or higher extremes carry minimal market weight. Updated model runs and the next daily forecast will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on August 31?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 31?
33°C 54%
32°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
36%
33°C
54%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 54%
32°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
$140 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$63 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$70 Обс.
3%
31°C
$0 Обс.
7%
32°C
$10 Обс.
36%
33°C
$468 Обс.
54%
34°C
$298 Обс.
9%
35°C
$0 Обс.
2%
36°C
$57 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$196 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favoring 33°C (53.5% implied probability) for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 31 reflects the Meteorological Service Singapore fortnightly outlook for daily maxima of 33–34°C during the second half of August under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with a few days potentially reaching 35°C.**
Recent observations show consistently above-normal highs (often 33–34°C, peaking at 34.3°C mid-month) amid below-average rainfall and enhanced insolation, reinforced by moderate-to-strong El Niño conditions that have sustained warmth and dryness across the Maritime Continent. Afternoon thundery showers remain possible but are not expected to substantially suppress the peak reading at the Changi reference station. Historical climatology places the typical August 31 maximum near 31°C, so the current elevated baseline and official guidance explain why 32°C and 34°C bracket the leading outcomes while lower or higher extremes carry minimal market weight. Updated model runs and the next daily forecast will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,303Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus favoring 33°C (53.5% implied probability) for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 31 reflects the Meteorological Service Singapore fortnightly outlook for daily maxima of 33–34°C during the second half of August under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with a few days potentially reaching 35°C.**
Recent observations show consistently above-normal highs (often 33–34°C, peaking at 34.3°C mid-month) amid below-average rainfall and enhanced insolation, reinforced by moderate-to-strong El Niño conditions that have sustained warmth and dryness across the Maritime Continent. Afternoon thundery showers remain possible but are not expected to substantially suppress the peak reading at the Changi reference station. Historical climatology places the typical August 31 maximum near 31°C, so the current elevated baseline and official guidance explain why 32°C and 34°C bracket the leading outcomes while lower or higher extremes carry minimal market weight. Updated model runs and the next daily forecast will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,303Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus favoring 33°C (53.5% implied probability) for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 31 reflects the Meteorological Service Singapore fortnightly outlook for daily maxima of 33–34°C during the second half of August under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with a few days potentially reaching 35°C.** Recent observations show consistently above-normal highs (often 33–34°C, peaking at 34.3°C mid-month) amid below-average rainfall and enhanced insolation, reinforced by moderate-to-strong El Niño conditions that have sustained warmth and dryness across the Maritime Continent. Afternoon thundery showers remain possible but are not expected to substantially suppress the peak reading at the Changi reference station. Historical climatology places the typical August 31 maximum near 31°C, so the current elevated baseline and official guidance explain why 32°C and 34°C bracket the leading outcomes while lower or higher extremes carry minimal market weight. Updated model runs and the next daily forecast will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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