Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
25°C 88%
24°C 16%
23°C 1.8%
26°C <1%
НОВЕ
$13,012 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,012 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
81%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 88%
24°C 16%
23°C 1.8%
26°C <1%
НОВЕ
$13,012 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,012 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$299 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$487 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,465 Обс.
2%
24°C
$814 Обс.
16%
25°C
$1,710 Обс.
81%
26°C
$4,457 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,831 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$234 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$189 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$201 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$324 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,012Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$13,012Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання