**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature of 28–29°C in Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 30.5% and 47.0% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds of 6–9 m/s, and 40–70% rain chances are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress peaks below the seasonal average of ~30–31°C. Recent observations from late August show a cooling trend from mid-month highs near 34–36°C, with increased moisture and reduced insolation supporting lower maxima. Official guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble runs from global models reflect this range, with limited divergence on intensification or clearing that could push readings to 30°C or above. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of overcast, showery conditions against minor upside risks from any late-day breaks in cloud.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
29°C 47%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.1%
НОВЕ
$25,550 Обс.
НОВЕ
$25,550 Обс.
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
31%
29°C
47%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.1%
НОВЕ
$25,550 Обс.
НОВЕ
$25,550 Обс.
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$110 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$120 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,063 Обс.
3%
28°C
$3,165 Обс.
31%
29°C
$4,554 Обс.
47%
30°C
$3,069 Обс.
15%
31°C
$3,448 Обс.
5%
32°C
$3,922 Обс.
4%
33°C
$2,291 Обс.
1%
34°C
$534 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$274 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature of 28–29°C in Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 30.5% and 47.0% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds of 6–9 m/s, and 40–70% rain chances are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress peaks below the seasonal average of ~30–31°C. Recent observations from late August show a cooling trend from mid-month highs near 34–36°C, with increased moisture and reduced insolation supporting lower maxima. Official guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble runs from global models reflect this range, with limited divergence on intensification or clearing that could push readings to 30°C or above. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of overcast, showery conditions against minor upside risks from any late-day breaks in cloud.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,550Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature of 28–29°C in Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 30.5% and 47.0% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds of 6–9 m/s, and 40–70% rain chances are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress peaks below the seasonal average of ~30–31°C. Recent observations from late August show a cooling trend from mid-month highs near 34–36°C, with increased moisture and reduced insolation supporting lower maxima. Official guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble runs from global models reflect this range, with limited divergence on intensification or clearing that could push readings to 30°C or above. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of overcast, showery conditions against minor upside risks from any late-day breaks in cloud.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$25,550Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature of 28–29°C in Hong Kong on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 30.5% and 47.0% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, northeast winds of 6–9 m/s, and 40–70% rain chances are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress peaks below the seasonal average of ~30–31°C. Recent observations from late August show a cooling trend from mid-month highs near 34–36°C, with increased moisture and reduced insolation supporting lower maxima. Official guidance from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble runs from global models reflect this range, with limited divergence on intensification or clearing that could push readings to 30°C or above. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of overcast, showery conditions against minor upside risks from any late-day breaks in cloud.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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