A cold front advancing over São Paulo has introduced cooler, more stable southeasterly flow and variable cloud cover ahead of September 2, suppressing daytime heating and capping the expected maximum near 19–21 °C according to the latest model consensus from INMET and international guidance. Persistent moisture and possible scattered showers further limit solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 23–25 °C for early September. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 19–21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with any clearing trend or delayed precipitation potentially allowing a brief push toward 22 °C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
19°C 18%
22°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
18%
20°C
29%
21°C
27%
22°C
13%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
19°C 18%
22°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
14°C or below
$344 Обс.
1%
15°C
$116 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$85 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$229 Обс.
2%
18°C
$193 Обс.
7%
19°C
$756 Обс.
18%
20°C
$1,163 Обс.
29%
21°C
$643 Обс.
27%
22°C
$1,497 Обс.
13%
23°C
$459 Обс.
3%
24°C or higher
$212 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing over São Paulo has introduced cooler, more stable southeasterly flow and variable cloud cover ahead of September 2, suppressing daytime heating and capping the expected maximum near 19–21 °C according to the latest model consensus from INMET and international guidance. Persistent moisture and possible scattered showers further limit solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 23–25 °C for early September. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 19–21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with any clearing trend or delayed precipitation potentially allowing a brief push toward 22 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,697Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing over São Paulo has introduced cooler, more stable southeasterly flow and variable cloud cover ahead of September 2, suppressing daytime heating and capping the expected maximum near 19–21 °C according to the latest model consensus from INMET and international guidance. Persistent moisture and possible scattered showers further limit solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 23–25 °C for early September. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 19–21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with any clearing trend or delayed precipitation potentially allowing a brief push toward 22 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,697Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing over São Paulo has introduced cooler, more stable southeasterly flow and variable cloud cover ahead of September 2, suppressing daytime heating and capping the expected maximum near 19–21 °C according to the latest model consensus from INMET and international guidance. Persistent moisture and possible scattered showers further limit solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 23–25 °C for early September. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 19–21 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with any clearing trend or delayed precipitation potentially allowing a brief push toward 22 °C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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