Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and WindBorne project a high near 83–84°F for New York City on September 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with a 60–89% chance of showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 82–87°F bins, as traders weigh model consensus on southwesterly flow and high humidity that supports afternoon peaks in the low-to-mid 80s. Precipitation timing and cloud cover remain key variables that could shave a degree or two off the daily maximum if storms arrive earlier than expected. Historical averages near 80°F and recent model runs showing limited warming potential reinforce the narrow probability spread, with only modest odds assigned to 88°F+ or sub-80°F outcomes. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the date will likely drive any final shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on September 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 3?
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
6%
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
75°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
4%
78-79°F
$8 Обс.
10%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
16%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
22%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
17%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
11%
90-91°F
$20 Обс.
9%
92-93°F
$11 Обс.
3%
94°F or higher
$10 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and WindBorne project a high near 83–84°F for New York City on September 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with a 60–89% chance of showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 82–87°F bins, as traders weigh model consensus on southwesterly flow and high humidity that supports afternoon peaks in the low-to-mid 80s. Precipitation timing and cloud cover remain key variables that could shave a degree or two off the daily maximum if storms arrive earlier than expected. Historical averages near 80°F and recent model runs showing limited warming potential reinforce the narrow probability spread, with only modest odds assigned to 88°F+ or sub-80°F outcomes. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the date will likely drive any final shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$48Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and WindBorne project a high near 83–84°F for New York City on September 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with a 60–89% chance of showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 82–87°F bins, as traders weigh model consensus on southwesterly flow and high humidity that supports afternoon peaks in the low-to-mid 80s. Precipitation timing and cloud cover remain key variables that could shave a degree or two off the daily maximum if storms arrive earlier than expected. Historical averages near 80°F and recent model runs showing limited warming potential reinforce the narrow probability spread, with only modest odds assigned to 88°F+ or sub-80°F outcomes. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the date will likely drive any final shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$48Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and WindBorne project a high near 83–84°F for New York City on September 3, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with a 60–89% chance of showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the 82–87°F bins, as traders weigh model consensus on southwesterly flow and high humidity that supports afternoon peaks in the low-to-mid 80s. Precipitation timing and cloud cover remain key variables that could shave a degree or two off the daily maximum if storms arrive earlier than expected. Historical averages near 80°F and recent model runs showing limited warming potential reinforce the narrow probability spread, with only modest odds assigned to 88°F+ or sub-80°F outcomes. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the date will likely drive any final shifts in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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