Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models project a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly flow, aligning closely with the historical September average of 13°C. Mild spring conditions, typical of the transition from winter westerlies without strong anticyclonic warming or frontal cooling, support this narrow range. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 14°C and 32.5% for 13°C captures the tight clustering of guidance, with lower odds on 15°C indicating limited upside potential absent unexpected solar heating or wind shifts. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will determine final verification against official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
14°C 57%
13°C 33%
15°C 12%
16°C <1%
НОВЕ
$32,330 Обс.
НОВЕ
$32,330 Обс.
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
33%
14°C
57%
15°C
12%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 57%
13°C 33%
15°C 12%
16°C <1%
НОВЕ
$32,330 Обс.
НОВЕ
$32,330 Обс.
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
$267 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$330 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$371 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$1,341 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$5,151 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$6,003 Обс.
33%
14°C
$5,881 Обс.
57%
15°C
$4,675 Обс.
12%
16°C
$3,334 Обс.
1%
17°C
$1,716 Обс.
<1%
18°C or higher
$3,260 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models project a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly flow, aligning closely with the historical September average of 13°C. Mild spring conditions, typical of the transition from winter westerlies without strong anticyclonic warming or frontal cooling, support this narrow range. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 14°C and 32.5% for 13°C captures the tight clustering of guidance, with lower odds on 15°C indicating limited upside potential absent unexpected solar heating or wind shifts. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will determine final verification against official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,330Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models project a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly flow, aligning closely with the historical September average of 13°C. Mild spring conditions, typical of the transition from winter westerlies without strong anticyclonic warming or frontal cooling, support this narrow range. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 14°C and 32.5% for 13°C captures the tight clustering of guidance, with lower odds on 15°C indicating limited upside potential absent unexpected solar heating or wind shifts. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will determine final verification against official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$32,330Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and international models project a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on September 1 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly flow, aligning closely with the historical September average of 13°C. Mild spring conditions, typical of the transition from winter westerlies without strong anticyclonic warming or frontal cooling, support this narrow range. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 14°C and 32.5% for 13°C captures the tight clustering of guidance, with lower odds on 15°C indicating limited upside potential absent unexpected solar heating or wind shifts. Updated model runs and real-time observations near resolution will determine final verification against official station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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