Current forecasts from meteorological models for Wellington on September 2, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 10–11°C under partly cloudy, windy northwest conditions, aligning with the market's strong 64% implied probability on 10°C. Spring climatology places typical September lows around 9–10°C, but persistent mild northerly flow and limited radiative cooling have kept projected minima elevated compared to colder historical analogs. Updated model runs show little divergence, with dew points near 10–12°C supporting the narrow range around 10°C, while probabilities below 9°C remain low absent a sharp cold front or clearer skies. Higher outcomes above 11°C carry minimal weight given the consistent guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
10°C 71%
7°C or below 4.6%
8°C 5%
9°C 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
7°C or below
5%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
71%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 71%
7°C or below 4.6%
8°C 5%
9°C 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
7°C or below
$63 Обс.
5%
8°C
$85 Обс.
5%
9°C
$80 Обс.
6%
10°C
$129 Обс.
71%
11°C
$303 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$167 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$234 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$91 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
17°C or higher
$258 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models for Wellington on September 2, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 10–11°C under partly cloudy, windy northwest conditions, aligning with the market's strong 64% implied probability on 10°C. Spring climatology places typical September lows around 9–10°C, but persistent mild northerly flow and limited radiative cooling have kept projected minima elevated compared to colder historical analogs. Updated model runs show little divergence, with dew points near 10–12°C supporting the narrow range around 10°C, while probabilities below 9°C remain low absent a sharp cold front or clearer skies. Higher outcomes above 11°C carry minimal weight given the consistent guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,672Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models for Wellington on September 2, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 10–11°C under partly cloudy, windy northwest conditions, aligning with the market's strong 64% implied probability on 10°C. Spring climatology places typical September lows around 9–10°C, but persistent mild northerly flow and limited radiative cooling have kept projected minima elevated compared to colder historical analogs. Updated model runs show little divergence, with dew points near 10–12°C supporting the narrow range around 10°C, while probabilities below 9°C remain low absent a sharp cold front or clearer skies. Higher outcomes above 11°C carry minimal weight given the consistent guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,672Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models for Wellington on September 2, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 10–11°C under partly cloudy, windy northwest conditions, aligning with the market's strong 64% implied probability on 10°C. Spring climatology places typical September lows around 9–10°C, but persistent mild northerly flow and limited radiative cooling have kept projected minima elevated compared to colder historical analogs. Updated model runs show little divergence, with dew points near 10–12°C supporting the narrow range around 10°C, while probabilities below 9°C remain low absent a sharp cold front or clearer skies. Higher outcomes above 11°C carry minimal weight given the consistent guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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