Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a September 4 high near 32–34 °C in Chengdu under subtropical high-pressure influence, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting mixing. This setup supports the market’s leading 34 °C outcome at 40.5 % implied probability, followed by 33 °C. Early-September climatology shows typical maxima in the low 30s, and current conditions align with that baseline while the high-pressure ridge delays the autumn rain transition. Localized mountain showers noted in some runs introduce modest downside risk to the exact peak, but overall model agreement keeps 35 °C and higher at lower odds. Updated guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and global ensembles will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
34°C 44%
33°C 26%
35°C 18%
32°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
12%
33°C
26%
34°C
44%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 44%
33°C 26%
35°C 18%
32°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
28°C
$190 Обс.
4%
29°C
$80 Обс.
4%
30°C
$24 Обс.
2%
31°C
$80 Обс.
4%
32°C
$20 Обс.
12%
33°C
$161 Обс.
26%
34°C
$21 Обс.
44%
35°C
$80 Обс.
18%
36°C
$44 Обс.
6%
37°C or higher
$100 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a September 4 high near 32–34 °C in Chengdu under subtropical high-pressure influence, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting mixing. This setup supports the market’s leading 34 °C outcome at 40.5 % implied probability, followed by 33 °C. Early-September climatology shows typical maxima in the low 30s, and current conditions align with that baseline while the high-pressure ridge delays the autumn rain transition. Localized mountain showers noted in some runs introduce modest downside risk to the exact peak, but overall model agreement keeps 35 °C and higher at lower odds. Updated guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and global ensembles will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$800Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a September 4 high near 32–34 °C in Chengdu under subtropical high-pressure influence, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting mixing. This setup supports the market’s leading 34 °C outcome at 40.5 % implied probability, followed by 33 °C. Early-September climatology shows typical maxima in the low 30s, and current conditions align with that baseline while the high-pressure ridge delays the autumn rain transition. Localized mountain showers noted in some runs introduce modest downside risk to the exact peak, but overall model agreement keeps 35 °C and higher at lower odds. Updated guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and global ensembles will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$800Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a September 4 high near 32–34 °C in Chengdu under subtropical high-pressure influence, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting mixing. This setup supports the market’s leading 34 °C outcome at 40.5 % implied probability, followed by 33 °C. Early-September climatology shows typical maxima in the low 30s, and current conditions align with that baseline while the high-pressure ridge delays the autumn rain transition. Localized mountain showers noted in some runs introduce modest downside risk to the exact peak, but overall model agreement keeps 35 °C and higher at lower odds. Updated guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and global ensembles will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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