An approaching deep upper-level low from the northeast Pacific is driving trader consensus toward a 66-67°F high in Seattle on September 2, as the system increases cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and measurable rainfall that limits daytime heating. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate highs in the mid-60s to lower 70s amid widespread precipitation and gusty winds, well below the early-September climatological average near 74°F. This setup favors the 66-67°F bin at 38% implied probability over warmer outcomes, with recent model runs showing limited variability in peak temperatures due to persistent overcast conditions. Updated NWS forecasts and any last-minute shifts in the low's track remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on September 2?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 2?
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 20%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 20%
64-65°F 14%
62-63°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$55 Обс.
2%
58-59°F
$45 Обс.
2%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
5%
62-63°F
$44 Обс.
12%
64-65°F
$913 Обс.
22%
66-67°F
$228 Обс.
36%
68-69°F
$754 Обс.
20%
70-71°F
$354 Обс.
7%
72-73°F
$94 Обс.
1%
74°F or higher
$81 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching deep upper-level low from the northeast Pacific is driving trader consensus toward a 66-67°F high in Seattle on September 2, as the system increases cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and measurable rainfall that limits daytime heating. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate highs in the mid-60s to lower 70s amid widespread precipitation and gusty winds, well below the early-September climatological average near 74°F. This setup favors the 66-67°F bin at 38% implied probability over warmer outcomes, with recent model runs showing limited variability in peak temperatures due to persistent overcast conditions. Updated NWS forecasts and any last-minute shifts in the low's track remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,569Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching deep upper-level low from the northeast Pacific is driving trader consensus toward a 66-67°F high in Seattle on September 2, as the system increases cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and measurable rainfall that limits daytime heating. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate highs in the mid-60s to lower 70s amid widespread precipitation and gusty winds, well below the early-September climatological average near 74°F. This setup favors the 66-67°F bin at 38% implied probability over warmer outcomes, with recent model runs showing limited variability in peak temperatures due to persistent overcast conditions. Updated NWS forecasts and any last-minute shifts in the low's track remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,569Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...An approaching deep upper-level low from the northeast Pacific is driving trader consensus toward a 66-67°F high in Seattle on September 2, as the system increases cloud cover, southeasterly flow, and measurable rainfall that limits daytime heating. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate highs in the mid-60s to lower 70s amid widespread precipitation and gusty winds, well below the early-September climatological average near 74°F. This setup favors the 66-67°F bin at 38% implied probability over warmer outcomes, with recent model runs showing limited variability in peak temperatures due to persistent overcast conditions. Updated NWS forecasts and any last-minute shifts in the low's track remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання