Trader consensus on Seoul's September 2 maximum temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with near-even implied probabilities between outcomes at or below 22°C and at or above 32°C. Ensemble models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global systems like ECMWF and GFS show divergence in the steering of a mid-level trough and residual monsoon moisture, which could either suppress daytime heating through increased cloud cover and precipitation or allow strong subsidence under building high pressure to drive rapid warming. Historical early-September baselines near 27–29°C underscore how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing can swing daily maxima by 5–8°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
28°C 34%
29°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
34%
29°C
28%
30°C
7%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 34%
29°C 28%
27°C 22%
26°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
$297 Обс.
1%
23°C
$352 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$196 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$344 Обс.
2%
26°C
$109 Обс.
7%
27°C
$456 Обс.
22%
28°C
$410 Обс.
34%
29°C
$264 Обс.
28%
30°C
$635 Обс.
7%
31°C
$112 Обс.
4%
32°C or higher
$153 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's September 2 maximum temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with near-even implied probabilities between outcomes at or below 22°C and at or above 32°C. Ensemble models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global systems like ECMWF and GFS show divergence in the steering of a mid-level trough and residual monsoon moisture, which could either suppress daytime heating through increased cloud cover and precipitation or allow strong subsidence under building high pressure to drive rapid warming. Historical early-September baselines near 27–29°C underscore how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing can swing daily maxima by 5–8°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,329Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's September 2 maximum temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with near-even implied probabilities between outcomes at or below 22°C and at or above 32°C. Ensemble models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global systems like ECMWF and GFS show divergence in the steering of a mid-level trough and residual monsoon moisture, which could either suppress daytime heating through increased cloud cover and precipitation or allow strong subsidence under building high pressure to drive rapid warming. Historical early-September baselines near 27–29°C underscore how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing can swing daily maxima by 5–8°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,329Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seoul's September 2 maximum temperature reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty, with near-even implied probabilities between outcomes at or below 22°C and at or above 32°C. Ensemble models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global systems like ECMWF and GFS show divergence in the steering of a mid-level trough and residual monsoon moisture, which could either suppress daytime heating through increased cloud cover and precipitation or allow strong subsidence under building high pressure to drive rapid warming. Historical early-September baselines near 27–29°C underscore how small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing can swing daily maxima by 5–8°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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