**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Incheon/Seoul on September 2, 2026, centered on 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent high humidity (80–95%), widespread cloud cover, and light northwesterly winds following heavy rainfall on September 1 are limiting radiative cooling and maintaining warm maritime air masses. Official guidance and ensemble runs show minimal overnight drops under these stable conditions, with historical September early-month averages near 21°C providing context but recent moisture overriding typical cooling. Updated model consensus and the absence of an approaching cold front reinforce trader focus on the narrow 22–24°C range, with implied probabilities reflecting low expected variance ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
23°C 47%
24°C 35%
22°C 15%
21°C 5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
47%
24°C
35%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 35%
22°C 15%
21°C 5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
15%
23°C
47%
24°C
35%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Incheon/Seoul on September 2, 2026, centered on 22–24°C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes.** Persistent high humidity (80–95%), widespread cloud cover, and light northwesterly winds following heavy rainfall on September 1 are limiting radiative cooling and maintaining warm maritime air masses. Official guidance and ensemble runs show minimal overnight drops under these stable conditions, with historical September early-month averages near 21°C providing context but recent moisture overriding typical cooling. Updated model consensus and the absence of an approaching cold front reinforce trader focus on the narrow 22–24°C range, with implied probabilities reflecting low expected variance ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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