Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows on September 3 in the low 70s°F, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This setup has produced the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 70–73°F bins, as persistent dew points near 70°F and minimal clear-sky intervals suppress the typical seasonal drop toward the 65°F climatological average. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler readings if showers clear earlier against the higher probability of continued warmth under the current pattern, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing of any evening convection and wind shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on September 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 3?
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
68-69°F 25%
74-75°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
63°F or below
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
68-69°F 25%
74-75°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
63°F or below
$10 Обс.
3%
64-65°F
$46 Обс.
3%
66-67°F
$126 Обс.
13%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
25%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
28%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
15%
76-77°F
$10 Обс.
4%
78-79°F
$10 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$10 Обс.
1%
82°F or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows on September 3 in the low 70s°F, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This setup has produced the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 70–73°F bins, as persistent dew points near 70°F and minimal clear-sky intervals suppress the typical seasonal drop toward the 65°F climatological average. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler readings if showers clear earlier against the higher probability of continued warmth under the current pattern, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing of any evening convection and wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$222Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows on September 3 in the low 70s°F, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This setup has produced the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 70–73°F bins, as persistent dew points near 70°F and minimal clear-sky intervals suppress the typical seasonal drop toward the 65°F climatological average. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler readings if showers clear earlier against the higher probability of continued warmth under the current pattern, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing of any evening convection and wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$222Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows on September 3 in the low 70s°F, driven by a warm, humid air mass with southwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This setup has produced the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 70–73°F bins, as persistent dew points near 70°F and minimal clear-sky intervals suppress the typical seasonal drop toward the 65°F climatological average. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slightly cooler readings if showers clear earlier against the higher probability of continued warmth under the current pattern, with final resolution hinging on the precise timing of any evening convection and wind shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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