**Trader sentiment for Houston's September 3 high temperature centers on the narrow 86–89°F range (combined ~68.5% implied probability), reflecting official NWS and model guidance showing a high near 89–92°F amid afternoon convection.** Persistent humidity, south-southeast flow, and 40–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms—especially after midday—introduce cooling via cloud cover, evaporative effects, and timing of peak heating. This caps the maximum below clearer-sky potential while still allowing readings in the upper 80s to low 90s. Heat indices near 100–106°F underscore the moisture load but do not alter the dry-bulb forecast. With resolution only ~48 hours away, updates from the NWS Houston/Galveston office and short-range model runs (e.g., temperature and PoP trends) will drive any shifts. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, yet the current setup favors the market's emphasis on the 88–89°F bin as the most probable outcome under prevailing conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on September 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 3?
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 19%
92-93°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 19%
92-93°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
81°F or below
$6 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$23 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$16 Обс.
8%
86-87°F
$470 Обс.
28%
88-89°F
$140 Обс.
39%
90-91°F
$116 Обс.
19%
92-93°F
$20 Обс.
12%
94-95°F
$6 Обс.
3%
96-97°F
$6 Обс.
<1%
98-99°F
$6 Обс.
1%
100°F or higher
$6 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Houston's September 3 high temperature centers on the narrow 86–89°F range (combined ~68.5% implied probability), reflecting official NWS and model guidance showing a high near 89–92°F amid afternoon convection.**
Persistent humidity, south-southeast flow, and 40–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms—especially after midday—introduce cooling via cloud cover, evaporative effects, and timing of peak heating. This caps the maximum below clearer-sky potential while still allowing readings in the upper 80s to low 90s. Heat indices near 100–106°F underscore the moisture load but do not alter the dry-bulb forecast.
With resolution only ~48 hours away, updates from the NWS Houston/Galveston office and short-range model runs (e.g., temperature and PoP trends) will drive any shifts. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, yet the current setup favors the market's emphasis on the 88–89°F bin as the most probable outcome under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$751Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Houston's September 3 high temperature centers on the narrow 86–89°F range (combined ~68.5% implied probability), reflecting official NWS and model guidance showing a high near 89–92°F amid afternoon convection.**
Persistent humidity, south-southeast flow, and 40–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms—especially after midday—introduce cooling via cloud cover, evaporative effects, and timing of peak heating. This caps the maximum below clearer-sky potential while still allowing readings in the upper 80s to low 90s. Heat indices near 100–106°F underscore the moisture load but do not alter the dry-bulb forecast.
With resolution only ~48 hours away, updates from the NWS Houston/Galveston office and short-range model runs (e.g., temperature and PoP trends) will drive any shifts. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, yet the current setup favors the market's emphasis on the 88–89°F bin as the most probable outcome under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$751Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Houston's September 3 high temperature centers on the narrow 86–89°F range (combined ~68.5% implied probability), reflecting official NWS and model guidance showing a high near 89–92°F amid afternoon convection.** Persistent humidity, south-southeast flow, and 40–70% chances of showers or thunderstorms—especially after midday—introduce cooling via cloud cover, evaporative effects, and timing of peak heating. This caps the maximum below clearer-sky potential while still allowing readings in the upper 80s to low 90s. Heat indices near 100–106°F underscore the moisture load but do not alter the dry-bulb forecast. With resolution only ~48 hours away, updates from the NWS Houston/Galveston office and short-range model runs (e.g., temperature and PoP trends) will drive any shifts. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, yet the current setup favors the market's emphasis on the 88–89°F bin as the most probable outcome under prevailing conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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