**Forecast model spread around typical late-summer coastal conditions is driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 36–38 °C.** Jeddah’s Red Sea location produces reliable northwest sea breezes that moderate daytime maxima, while clear skies and subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge support temperatures near the 36–37 °C historical early-September average. Small differences in predicted wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, and low-level moisture advection across ensemble runs create the observed uncertainty between 36 °C and 39 °C-plus outcomes. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model consensus and any updates from regional meteorological centers that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 3?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 3?
38°C 29%
39°C or higher 23%
37°C 23%
36°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
22%
37°C
23%
38°C
29%
39°C or higher
23%
38°C 29%
39°C or higher 23%
37°C 23%
36°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$411 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$311 Обс.
1%
32°C
$311 Обс.
1%
33°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$5 Обс.
1%
35°C
$0 Обс.
6%
36°C
$3 Обс.
22%
37°C
$0 Обс.
23%
38°C
$0 Обс.
29%
39°C or higher
$16 Обс.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spread around typical late-summer coastal conditions is driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 36–38 °C.** Jeddah’s Red Sea location produces reliable northwest sea breezes that moderate daytime maxima, while clear skies and subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge support temperatures near the 36–37 °C historical early-September average. Small differences in predicted wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, and low-level moisture advection across ensemble runs create the observed uncertainty between 36 °C and 39 °C-plus outcomes. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model consensus and any updates from regional meteorological centers that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,050Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spread around typical late-summer coastal conditions is driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 36–38 °C.** Jeddah’s Red Sea location produces reliable northwest sea breezes that moderate daytime maxima, while clear skies and subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge support temperatures near the 36–37 °C historical early-September average. Small differences in predicted wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, and low-level moisture advection across ensemble runs create the observed uncertainty between 36 °C and 39 °C-plus outcomes. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model consensus and any updates from regional meteorological centers that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,050Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model spread around typical late-summer coastal conditions is driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 36–38 °C.** Jeddah’s Red Sea location produces reliable northwest sea breezes that moderate daytime maxima, while clear skies and subsidence under a stable high-pressure ridge support temperatures near the 36–37 °C historical early-September average. Small differences in predicted wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, and low-level moisture advection across ensemble runs create the observed uncertainty between 36 °C and 39 °C-plus outcomes. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution model consensus and any updates from regional meteorological centers that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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