Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a Friday night low near 14°C for Toronto, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler air and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that enhance radiative cooling after the day's 23°C high. Ensemble variations in cloud cover, wind mixing, and dew point around 11–13°C create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–16°C outcomes. Clear conditions favor the lower end by allowing greater nocturnal heat loss, while any increase in cloudiness or southerly flow could limit the drop toward 16°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical late-August normals near 15°C and the absence of major frontal systems, with final resolution hinging on overnight observations at stations like Pearson Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on August 28?
10°C or below 50%
11°C 50%
20°C or higher 43%
14°C 28%
10°C or below
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
14%
16°C
27%
17°C
2%
18°C
23%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
43%
10°C or below 50%
11°C 50%
20°C or higher 43%
14°C 28%
10°C or below
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
14%
16°C
27%
17°C
2%
18°C
23%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a Friday night low near 14°C for Toronto, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler air and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that enhance radiative cooling after the day's 23°C high. Ensemble variations in cloud cover, wind mixing, and dew point around 11–13°C create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–16°C outcomes. Clear conditions favor the lower end by allowing greater nocturnal heat loss, while any increase in cloudiness or southerly flow could limit the drop toward 16°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against historical late-August normals near 15°C and the absence of major frontal systems, with final resolution hinging on overnight observations at stations like Pearson Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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