**Current forecasts for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, show a mild night with minimum temperatures likely in the 16–19 °C range amid westerly to southwesterly flow, high humidity (dew points near 15–17 °C), and periods of showers or drizzle that limit radiative cooling.** These conditions stem from a broad low-pressure influence and cloud cover that prevents the sharp overnight drops typical of clearer autumn nights, pushing the distribution toward warmer-than-climatological minima (historical average low ~12 °C). Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local guidance supports this pattern, with limited downside risk from colder advection. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probabilities to outcomes of 16 °C and above, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-term forecast stability ahead of the day’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
22°C or higher 87%
17°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 27%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
10%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
15%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
87%
22°C or higher 87%
17°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 27%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
10%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
15%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, show a mild night with minimum temperatures likely in the 16–19 °C range amid westerly to southwesterly flow, high humidity (dew points near 15–17 °C), and periods of showers or drizzle that limit radiative cooling.** These conditions stem from a broad low-pressure influence and cloud cover that prevents the sharp overnight drops typical of clearer autumn nights, pushing the distribution toward warmer-than-climatological minima (historical average low ~12 °C). Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and local guidance supports this pattern, with limited downside risk from colder advection. Traders have therefore assigned the highest implied probabilities to outcomes of 16 °C and above, reflecting the latest observational trends and short-term forecast stability ahead of the day’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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