Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly clear skies over Seoul and Incheon on September 4 after earlier central-region rainfall, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster around 28–30 °C, aligning with early-September climatological averages near 28–29 °C and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. This positions 29–31 °C as the dominant outcomes in trader pricing, as any modest deviations from the central forecast—such as slightly stronger insolation or minor steering-pattern shifts—remain within typical ensemble spread without pushing extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, leaving little room for the low-probability tails currently priced below 10 %.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
30°C 35%
29°C 26%
31°C 24%
26°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
26%
30°C
35%
31°C
24%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
29°C 26%
31°C 24%
26°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
15%
27°C
$9 Обс.
3%
28°C
$0 Обс.
7%
29°C
$25 Обс.
26%
30°C
$122 Обс.
35%
31°C
$2 Обс.
24%
32°C
$4 Обс.
3%
33°C or higher
$50 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly clear skies over Seoul and Incheon on September 4 after earlier central-region rainfall, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster around 28–30 °C, aligning with early-September climatological averages near 28–29 °C and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. This positions 29–31 °C as the dominant outcomes in trader pricing, as any modest deviations from the central forecast—such as slightly stronger insolation or minor steering-pattern shifts—remain within typical ensemble spread without pushing extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, leaving little room for the low-probability tails currently priced below 10 %.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$212Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly clear skies over Seoul and Incheon on September 4 after earlier central-region rainfall, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster around 28–30 °C, aligning with early-September climatological averages near 28–29 °C and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. This positions 29–31 °C as the dominant outcomes in trader pricing, as any modest deviations from the central forecast—such as slightly stronger insolation or minor steering-pattern shifts—remain within typical ensemble spread without pushing extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, leaving little room for the low-probability tails currently priced below 10 %.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$212Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly clear skies over Seoul and Incheon on September 4 after earlier central-region rainfall, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating. Consensus maximum temperatures cluster around 28–30 °C, aligning with early-September climatological averages near 28–29 °C and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. This positions 29–31 °C as the dominant outcomes in trader pricing, as any modest deviations from the central forecast—such as slightly stronger insolation or minor steering-pattern shifts—remain within typical ensemble spread without pushing extremes above 32 °C or below 28 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, leaving little room for the low-probability tails currently priced below 10 %.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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