Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a shift to cooler, drier northeasterly flow over the Korean Peninsula, promoting clear skies and enhanced nighttime radiative cooling for Incheon on September 4. This setup favors overnight lows near 20–22°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 48% for 21°C and 30% for 22°C, alongside 21% for 20°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima around 20°C, with current model consensus reflecting stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits warming. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor uncertainties in exact wind speeds and dew points, which could nudge the minimum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 4?
21°C 48%
22°C 30%
20°C 21%
23°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
6%
20°C
21%
21°C
48%
22°C
30%
23°C
18%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 48%
22°C 30%
20°C 21%
23°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
16°C
$0 Обс.
2%
17°C
$0 Обс.
3%
18°C
$77 Обс.
5%
19°C
$21 Обс.
6%
20°C
$0 Обс.
21%
21°C
$0 Обс.
48%
22°C
$0 Обс.
30%
23°C
$0 Обс.
18%
24°C
$0 Обс.
2%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a shift to cooler, drier northeasterly flow over the Korean Peninsula, promoting clear skies and enhanced nighttime radiative cooling for Incheon on September 4. This setup favors overnight lows near 20–22°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 48% for 21°C and 30% for 22°C, alongside 21% for 20°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima around 20°C, with current model consensus reflecting stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits warming. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor uncertainties in exact wind speeds and dew points, which could nudge the minimum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$98Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a shift to cooler, drier northeasterly flow over the Korean Peninsula, promoting clear skies and enhanced nighttime radiative cooling for Incheon on September 4. This setup favors overnight lows near 20–22°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 48% for 21°C and 30% for 22°C, alongside 21% for 20°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima around 20°C, with current model consensus reflecting stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits warming. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor uncertainties in exact wind speeds and dew points, which could nudge the minimum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$98Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a shift to cooler, drier northeasterly flow over the Korean Peninsula, promoting clear skies and enhanced nighttime radiative cooling for Incheon on September 4. This setup favors overnight lows near 20–22°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 48% for 21°C and 30% for 22°C, alongside 21% for 20°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical minima around 20°C, with current model consensus reflecting stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits warming. Traders appear to weigh these factors against minor uncertainties in exact wind speeds and dew points, which could nudge the minimum by 1°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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