**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the 29–30°C range, reflecting official forecasts of 25–29°C amid northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (75–95%), and increased cloud cover with scattered showers.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies and squally rain risk that curbs solar heating and caps daytime peaks, consistent with recent observations of 30–31°C on September 2–3 giving way to more stable but moister air. Numerical models diverge modestly on the exact peak—some envelope 26–29°C while others allow brief 30°C readings before showers develop—producing the tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Historical September climatology (typical maxima near 29–31°C) and the proximity of a nearby tropical system further support this narrow distribution, with resolution hinging on the afternoon temperature trace at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
28°C 18%
31°C 11%
НОВЕ
$20,479 Обс.
НОВЕ
$20,479 Обс.
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
36%
30°C
32%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
28°C 18%
31°C 11%
НОВЕ
$20,479 Обс.
НОВЕ
$20,479 Обс.
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$10,859 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$204 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$802 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,103 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,654 Обс.
6%
28°C
$2,058 Обс.
18%
29°C
$1,368 Обс.
36%
30°C
$789 Обс.
32%
31°C
$768 Обс.
11%
32°C
$528 Обс.
2%
33°C or higher
$430 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the 29–30°C range, reflecting official forecasts of 25–29°C amid northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (75–95%), and increased cloud cover with scattered showers.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies and squally rain risk that curbs solar heating and caps daytime peaks, consistent with recent observations of 30–31°C on September 2–3 giving way to more stable but moister air. Numerical models diverge modestly on the exact peak—some envelope 26–29°C while others allow brief 30°C readings before showers develop—producing the tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Historical September climatology (typical maxima near 29–31°C) and the proximity of a nearby tropical system further support this narrow distribution, with resolution hinging on the afternoon temperature trace at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,479Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the 29–30°C range, reflecting official forecasts of 25–29°C amid northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (75–95%), and increased cloud cover with scattered showers.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies and squally rain risk that curbs solar heating and caps daytime peaks, consistent with recent observations of 30–31°C on September 2–3 giving way to more stable but moister air. Numerical models diverge modestly on the exact peak—some envelope 26–29°C while others allow brief 30°C readings before showers develop—producing the tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Historical September climatology (typical maxima near 29–31°C) and the proximity of a nearby tropical system further support this narrow distribution, with resolution hinging on the afternoon temperature trace at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$20,479Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the 29–30°C range, reflecting official forecasts of 25–29°C amid northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, elevated humidity (75–95%), and increased cloud cover with scattered showers.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies and squally rain risk that curbs solar heating and caps daytime peaks, consistent with recent observations of 30–31°C on September 2–3 giving way to more stable but moister air. Numerical models diverge modestly on the exact peak—some envelope 26–29°C while others allow brief 30°C readings before showers develop—producing the tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Historical September climatology (typical maxima near 29–31°C) and the proximity of a nearby tropical system further support this narrow distribution, with resolution hinging on the afternoon temperature trace at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання