Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and local guidance position 24°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town's September 5 maximum, with clear skies, dry southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming. Afternoon peaks in multiple runs cluster between 23–24°C, consistent with the market's 41% implied probability for that exact threshold. This setup reflects typical early-spring conditions modified by the absence of coastal stratus or frontal activity, though ensemble spread leaves room for 22–25°C depending on wind strength and timing of peak insolation. South African Weather Service updates and next model cycles in the next 24–48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 5?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 5?
24°C 40%
23°C 32%
25°C 22%
22°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
8%
21°C
10%
22°C
16%
23°C
32%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
12%
27°C
9%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
4%
24°C 40%
23°C 32%
25°C 22%
22°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$205 Обс.
8%
21°C
$54 Обс.
10%
22°C
$0 Обс.
16%
23°C
$0 Обс.
32%
24°C
$130 Обс.
40%
25°C
$0 Обс.
22%
26°C
$0 Обс.
12%
27°C
$20 Обс.
9%
28°C
$191 Обс.
8%
29°C
$0 Обс.
8%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and local guidance position 24°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town's September 5 maximum, with clear skies, dry southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming. Afternoon peaks in multiple runs cluster between 23–24°C, consistent with the market's 41% implied probability for that exact threshold. This setup reflects typical early-spring conditions modified by the absence of coastal stratus or frontal activity, though ensemble spread leaves room for 22–25°C depending on wind strength and timing of peak insolation. South African Weather Service updates and next model cycles in the next 24–48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$580Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and local guidance position 24°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town's September 5 maximum, with clear skies, dry southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming. Afternoon peaks in multiple runs cluster between 23–24°C, consistent with the market's 41% implied probability for that exact threshold. This setup reflects typical early-spring conditions modified by the absence of coastal stratus or frontal activity, though ensemble spread leaves room for 22–25°C depending on wind strength and timing of peak insolation. South African Weather Service updates and next model cycles in the next 24–48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$580Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and local guidance position 24°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town's September 5 maximum, with clear skies, dry southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and stable high pressure supporting modest daytime warming. Afternoon peaks in multiple runs cluster between 23–24°C, consistent with the market's 41% implied probability for that exact threshold. This setup reflects typical early-spring conditions modified by the absence of coastal stratus or frontal activity, though ensemble spread leaves room for 22–25°C depending on wind strength and timing of peak insolation. South African Weather Service updates and next model cycles in the next 24–48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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