Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 14–15°C on September 3 under persistent northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels typical of early spring in the region. These conditions limit daytime radiative heating while historical climatology for early September shows averages near 12–13°C, with rare excursions above 16°C. Trader consensus favoring 16°C (54%) or 17°C (39%) reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings before resolution, though official observations will determine the exact peak. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 3?
16°C 54%
17°C 39%
15°C 6%
18°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
54%
17°C
39%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 54%
17°C 39%
15°C 6%
18°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
10°C or below
$198 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$275 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$281 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$322 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$490 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$2,070 Обс.
6%
16°C
$1,707 Обс.
54%
17°C
$2,639 Обс.
39%
18°C
$621 Обс.
4%
19°C
$690 Обс.
2%
20°C or higher
$305 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 14–15°C on September 3 under persistent northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels typical of early spring in the region. These conditions limit daytime radiative heating while historical climatology for early September shows averages near 12–13°C, with rare excursions above 16°C. Trader consensus favoring 16°C (54%) or 17°C (39%) reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings before resolution, though official observations will determine the exact peak. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,598Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 14–15°C on September 3 under persistent northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels typical of early spring in the region. These conditions limit daytime radiative heating while historical climatology for early September shows averages near 12–13°C, with rare excursions above 16°C. Trader consensus favoring 16°C (54%) or 17°C (39%) reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings before resolution, though official observations will determine the exact peak. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,598Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature in Wellington of 14–15°C on September 3 under persistent northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and moderate humidity levels typical of early spring in the region. These conditions limit daytime radiative heating while historical climatology for early September shows averages near 12–13°C, with rare excursions above 16°C. Trader consensus favoring 16°C (54%) or 17°C (39%) reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings before resolution, though official observations will determine the exact peak. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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