Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of Tokyo's September 3 maximum temperature falling in the 29–31°C range, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 30°C and 31°C. Southerly winds are advecting warm, moist air from the subtropics, supporting afternoon peaks near 30–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, while scattered thunderstorms and 45–80% precipitation chances could limit solar heating and cap the exact high. Humidity levels above 70% and potential cloud cover introduce variability in model outputs, with some runs showing slightly cooler outcomes if rain arrives earlier. Historical September baselines near 28–29°C provide context, but the current pattern favors modestly above-average readings absent stronger frontal influence. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 3?
30°C 33%
31°C 29%
29°C 20%
32°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
20%
30°C
33%
31°C
29%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
31°C 29%
29°C 20%
32°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$835 Обс.
1%
26°C
$212 Обс.
2%
27°C
$14 Обс.
3%
28°C
$106 Обс.
8%
29°C
$124 Обс.
20%
30°C
$56 Обс.
33%
31°C
$165 Обс.
29%
32°C
$168 Обс.
12%
33°C
$51 Обс.
3%
34°C
$5 Обс.
2%
35°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of Tokyo's September 3 maximum temperature falling in the 29–31°C range, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 30°C and 31°C. Southerly winds are advecting warm, moist air from the subtropics, supporting afternoon peaks near 30–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, while scattered thunderstorms and 45–80% precipitation chances could limit solar heating and cap the exact high. Humidity levels above 70% and potential cloud cover introduce variability in model outputs, with some runs showing slightly cooler outcomes if rain arrives earlier. Historical September baselines near 28–29°C provide context, but the current pattern favors modestly above-average readings absent stronger frontal influence. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,748Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of Tokyo's September 3 maximum temperature falling in the 29–31°C range, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 30°C and 31°C. Southerly winds are advecting warm, moist air from the subtropics, supporting afternoon peaks near 30–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, while scattered thunderstorms and 45–80% precipitation chances could limit solar heating and cap the exact high. Humidity levels above 70% and potential cloud cover introduce variability in model outputs, with some runs showing slightly cooler outcomes if rain arrives earlier. Historical September baselines near 28–29°C provide context, but the current pattern favors modestly above-average readings absent stronger frontal influence. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,748Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high likelihood of Tokyo's September 3 maximum temperature falling in the 29–31°C range, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 30°C and 31°C. Southerly winds are advecting warm, moist air from the subtropics, supporting afternoon peaks near 30–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, while scattered thunderstorms and 45–80% precipitation chances could limit solar heating and cap the exact high. Humidity levels above 70% and potential cloud cover introduce variability in model outputs, with some runs showing slightly cooler outcomes if rain arrives earlier. Historical September baselines near 28–29°C provide context, but the current pattern favors modestly above-average readings absent stronger frontal influence. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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