**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 5, 2026, most likely between 19°C and 21°C.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (50.0%), followed by 21°C and 19°C (each around 23–24.5%). A westerly airflow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating, preventing significant warming. These conditions match early-September climatology for Warsaw, where average highs typically range from 18–21°C amid transitional autumn patterns. Stronger winds (15–25 km/h or higher gusts) and precipitation chances of 30–60% further cap temperatures by reducing insolation. Model consensus has stabilized in the past 24–48 hours with limited spread, supporting trader positioning around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key variables to watch include the exact timing and intensity of any showers, as drier breaks could allow brief warming toward 21–22°C, while heavier rain would reinforce the lower end. Official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF runs over the next day will provide the final refinements ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 5?
20°C 40%
21°C 34%
19°C 33%
22°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
7%
19°C
33%
20°C
40%
21°C
34%
22°C
21%
23°C
13%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
20°C 40%
21°C 34%
19°C 33%
22°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
7%
19°C
$0 Обс.
33%
20°C
$10 Обс.
40%
21°C
$111 Обс.
34%
22°C
$0 Обс.
21%
23°C
$0 Обс.
13%
24°C
$0 Обс.
2%
25°C
$0 Обс.
2%
26°C
$0 Обс.
2%
27°C
$0 Обс.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 5, 2026, most likely between 19°C and 21°C.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (50.0%), followed by 21°C and 19°C (each around 23–24.5%).
A westerly airflow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating, preventing significant warming. These conditions match early-September climatology for Warsaw, where average highs typically range from 18–21°C amid transitional autumn patterns. Stronger winds (15–25 km/h or higher gusts) and precipitation chances of 30–60% further cap temperatures by reducing insolation.
Model consensus has stabilized in the past 24–48 hours with limited spread, supporting trader positioning around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key variables to watch include the exact timing and intensity of any showers, as drier breaks could allow brief warming toward 21–22°C, while heavier rain would reinforce the lower end. Official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF runs over the next day will provide the final refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$121Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 5, 2026, most likely between 19°C and 21°C.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (50.0%), followed by 21°C and 19°C (each around 23–24.5%).
A westerly airflow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating, preventing significant warming. These conditions match early-September climatology for Warsaw, where average highs typically range from 18–21°C amid transitional autumn patterns. Stronger winds (15–25 km/h or higher gusts) and precipitation chances of 30–60% further cap temperatures by reducing insolation.
Model consensus has stabilized in the past 24–48 hours with limited spread, supporting trader positioning around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key variables to watch include the exact timing and intensity of any showers, as drier breaks could allow brief warming toward 21–22°C, while heavier rain would reinforce the lower end. Official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF runs over the next day will provide the final refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$121Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 5, 2026, most likely between 19°C and 21°C.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (50.0%), followed by 21°C and 19°C (each around 23–24.5%). A westerly airflow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate daytime heating, preventing significant warming. These conditions match early-September climatology for Warsaw, where average highs typically range from 18–21°C amid transitional autumn patterns. Stronger winds (15–25 km/h or higher gusts) and precipitation chances of 30–60% further cap temperatures by reducing insolation. Model consensus has stabilized in the past 24–48 hours with limited spread, supporting trader positioning around the 19–21°C outcomes. Key variables to watch include the exact timing and intensity of any showers, as drier breaks could allow brief warming toward 21–22°C, while heavier rain would reinforce the lower end. Official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF runs over the next day will provide the final refinements ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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