Recent southerly wind shifts and a cold front approaching Wellington have driven cooler, wetter conditions expected on September 7, with official forecasts from sources like MetService and international models converging on a maximum of 11–13°C amid persistent rain and cloud cover. This contrasts with milder 13–14°C highs observed earlier in the week under northwesterly flows. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the timing of this frontal passage—within 48 hours of market resolution—has concentrated trader sentiment on the narrow 12–14°C band, where model consensus is strongest while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 1–2°C for coastal sites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 7?
13°C 42%
14°C 22%
12°C 21%
15°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
5%
12°C
21%
13°C
42%
14°C
22%
15°C
8%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
13°C 42%
14°C 22%
12°C 21%
15°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
$400 Обс.
1%
10°C
$24 Обс.
4%
11°C
$123 Обс.
5%
12°C
$159 Обс.
21%
13°C
$349 Обс.
42%
14°C
$461 Обс.
22%
15°C
$191 Обс.
8%
16°C
$88 Обс.
4%
17°C
$70 Обс.
4%
18°C
$35 Обс.
2%
19°C or higher
$20 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southerly wind shifts and a cold front approaching Wellington have driven cooler, wetter conditions expected on September 7, with official forecasts from sources like MetService and international models converging on a maximum of 11–13°C amid persistent rain and cloud cover. This contrasts with milder 13–14°C highs observed earlier in the week under northwesterly flows. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the timing of this frontal passage—within 48 hours of market resolution—has concentrated trader sentiment on the narrow 12–14°C band, where model consensus is strongest while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 1–2°C for coastal sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,920Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southerly wind shifts and a cold front approaching Wellington have driven cooler, wetter conditions expected on September 7, with official forecasts from sources like MetService and international models converging on a maximum of 11–13°C amid persistent rain and cloud cover. This contrasts with milder 13–14°C highs observed earlier in the week under northwesterly flows. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the timing of this frontal passage—within 48 hours of market resolution—has concentrated trader sentiment on the narrow 12–14°C band, where model consensus is strongest while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 1–2°C for coastal sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,920Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent southerly wind shifts and a cold front approaching Wellington have driven cooler, wetter conditions expected on September 7, with official forecasts from sources like MetService and international models converging on a maximum of 11–13°C amid persistent rain and cloud cover. This contrasts with milder 13–14°C highs observed earlier in the week under northwesterly flows. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, but the timing of this frontal passage—within 48 hours of market resolution—has concentrated trader sentiment on the narrow 12–14°C band, where model consensus is strongest while acknowledging typical forecast spread of 1–2°C for coastal sites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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