Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to mild early-spring conditions in Wellington on September 5, with daytime maxima centered around 14–16 °C amid northwest flows and variable cloud cover. Seasonal norms for the capital hover near 13–14 °C, so recent guidance showing slightly above-average readings—driven by transient warmer air masses before a cooler southerly change—has concentrated trader focus on the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Strong winds typical of the region can suppress or briefly elevate recorded highs depending on timing, while model consensus remains tight but subject to revision with the next high-resolution runs. El Niño persistence adds longer-term variability, yet short-term observational trends and ensemble spreads currently favor the narrow 14–16 °C band reflected in market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
15°C 48%
14°C 35%
16°C 34%
17°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
35%
15°C
48%
16°C
34%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 48%
14°C 35%
16°C 34%
17°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
11°C
$15 Обс.
1%
12°C
$0 Обс.
2%
13°C
$0 Обс.
5%
14°C
$34 Обс.
35%
15°C
$84 Обс.
48%
16°C
$40 Обс.
34%
17°C
$38 Обс.
15%
18°C
$10 Обс.
3%
19°C
$0 Обс.
4%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to mild early-spring conditions in Wellington on September 5, with daytime maxima centered around 14–16 °C amid northwest flows and variable cloud cover. Seasonal norms for the capital hover near 13–14 °C, so recent guidance showing slightly above-average readings—driven by transient warmer air masses before a cooler southerly change—has concentrated trader focus on the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Strong winds typical of the region can suppress or briefly elevate recorded highs depending on timing, while model consensus remains tight but subject to revision with the next high-resolution runs. El Niño persistence adds longer-term variability, yet short-term observational trends and ensemble spreads currently favor the narrow 14–16 °C band reflected in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$221Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to mild early-spring conditions in Wellington on September 5, with daytime maxima centered around 14–16 °C amid northwest flows and variable cloud cover. Seasonal norms for the capital hover near 13–14 °C, so recent guidance showing slightly above-average readings—driven by transient warmer air masses before a cooler southerly change—has concentrated trader focus on the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Strong winds typical of the region can suppress or briefly elevate recorded highs depending on timing, while model consensus remains tight but subject to revision with the next high-resolution runs. El Niño persistence adds longer-term variability, yet short-term observational trends and ensemble spreads currently favor the narrow 14–16 °C band reflected in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$221Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to mild early-spring conditions in Wellington on September 5, with daytime maxima centered around 14–16 °C amid northwest flows and variable cloud cover. Seasonal norms for the capital hover near 13–14 °C, so recent guidance showing slightly above-average readings—driven by transient warmer air masses before a cooler southerly change—has concentrated trader focus on the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes. Strong winds typical of the region can suppress or briefly elevate recorded highs depending on timing, while model consensus remains tight but subject to revision with the next high-resolution runs. El Niño persistence adds longer-term variability, yet short-term observational trends and ensemble spreads currently favor the narrow 14–16 °C band reflected in market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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