**Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for Wellington on September 5, with closely matched probabilities across cold, mild, and warm outcomes driven by variable forecast guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and radiational cooling potential.** Northwesterly flows are expected to moderate conditions, but any increase in clear skies overnight could enhance surface cooling below the 11–12 °C range shown in current MetService and international model runs, while persistent cloud or stronger winds would support readings near or above 13 °C. Seasonal context from lingering El Niño conditions favors near-average spring temperatures, yet the two-day lead time leaves room for model divergence on exact dew points and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming official forecast updates from MetService and refined high-resolution runs will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
7°C or below 69%
17°C or higher 59%
8°C 49%
9°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
69%
8°C
49%
9°C
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
33%
13°C
49%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
59%
7°C or below 69%
17°C or higher 59%
8°C 49%
9°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
69%
8°C
$0 Обс.
49%
9°C
$0 Обс.
49%
10°C
$0 Обс.
26%
11°C
$0 Обс.
26%
12°C
$0 Обс.
33%
13°C
$0 Обс.
49%
14°C
$0 Обс.
8%
15°C
$0 Обс.
2%
16°C
$0 Обс.
8%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for Wellington on September 5, with closely matched probabilities across cold, mild, and warm outcomes driven by variable forecast guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and radiational cooling potential.**
Northwesterly flows are expected to moderate conditions, but any increase in clear skies overnight could enhance surface cooling below the 11–12 °C range shown in current MetService and international model runs, while persistent cloud or stronger winds would support readings near or above 13 °C. Seasonal context from lingering El Niño conditions favors near-average spring temperatures, yet the two-day lead time leaves room for model divergence on exact dew points and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming official forecast updates from MetService and refined high-resolution runs will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for Wellington on September 5, with closely matched probabilities across cold, mild, and warm outcomes driven by variable forecast guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and radiational cooling potential.**
Northwesterly flows are expected to moderate conditions, but any increase in clear skies overnight could enhance surface cooling below the 11–12 °C range shown in current MetService and international model runs, while persistent cloud or stronger winds would support readings near or above 13 °C. Seasonal context from lingering El Niño conditions favors near-average spring temperatures, yet the two-day lead time leaves room for model divergence on exact dew points and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming official forecast updates from MetService and refined high-resolution runs will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum temperature for Wellington on September 5, with closely matched probabilities across cold, mild, and warm outcomes driven by variable forecast guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and radiational cooling potential.** Northwesterly flows are expected to moderate conditions, but any increase in clear skies overnight could enhance surface cooling below the 11–12 °C range shown in current MetService and international model runs, while persistent cloud or stronger winds would support readings near or above 13 °C. Seasonal context from lingering El Niño conditions favors near-average spring temperatures, yet the two-day lead time leaves room for model divergence on exact dew points and boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming official forecast updates from MetService and refined high-resolution runs will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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