Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a transition to northerly flow behind a frontal passage, promoting clearer skies and drier air over New York City by September 5. This setup favors radiational cooling overnight, with consensus forecasts placing the daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s °F at Central Park. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 62 °F, but current guidance leans slightly milder. Traders’ evenly distributed probabilities across 61–75 °F bins reflect this forecast variability ahead of updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on September 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 5?
61°F or below 47%
80°F or higher 46%
62-63°F 45%
72-73°F 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
61°F or below
47%
62-63°F
45%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
45%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
28%
80°F or higher
46%
61°F or below 47%
80°F or higher 46%
62-63°F 45%
72-73°F 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Обс.
47%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
45%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
19%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
19%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
33%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
29%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
45%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
45%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
28%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
28%
80°F or higher
$0 Обс.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a transition to northerly flow behind a frontal passage, promoting clearer skies and drier air over New York City by September 5. This setup favors radiational cooling overnight, with consensus forecasts placing the daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s °F at Central Park. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 62 °F, but current guidance leans slightly milder. Traders’ evenly distributed probabilities across 61–75 °F bins reflect this forecast variability ahead of updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a transition to northerly flow behind a frontal passage, promoting clearer skies and drier air over New York City by September 5. This setup favors radiational cooling overnight, with consensus forecasts placing the daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s °F at Central Park. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 62 °F, but current guidance leans slightly milder. Traders’ evenly distributed probabilities across 61–75 °F bins reflect this forecast variability ahead of updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a transition to northerly flow behind a frontal passage, promoting clearer skies and drier air over New York City by September 5. This setup favors radiational cooling overnight, with consensus forecasts placing the daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s °F at Central Park. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to uncertainties in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 62 °F, but current guidance leans slightly milder. Traders’ evenly distributed probabilities across 61–75 °F bins reflect this forecast variability ahead of updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання