Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 7 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and dew points in the low 70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F. This places the market-implied odds near even for 96–99°F bins while leaving room for 100–101°F outcomes if daytime mixing or reduced cloud cover allows greater surface heating. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk, consistent with the seasonal pattern of above-average late-summer temperatures driven by persistent Gulf moisture and weak steering flow. Minor forecast adjustments in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer depth could shift the peak by 2–3°F, explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the upper-90s to low-100s range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on September 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 7?
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 48%
100-101°F 47%
94-95°F 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
87°F or below
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
23%
96-97°F
48%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
47%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
16%
106°F or higher
18%
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 48%
100-101°F 47%
94-95°F 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
87°F or below
$0 Обс.
4%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
15%
92-93°F
$0 Обс.
16%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
23%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
48%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
50%
100-101°F
$0 Обс.
47%
102-103°F
$0 Обс.
18%
104-105°F
$0 Обс.
16%
106°F or higher
$0 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 7 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and dew points in the low 70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F. This places the market-implied odds near even for 96–99°F bins while leaving room for 100–101°F outcomes if daytime mixing or reduced cloud cover allows greater surface heating. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk, consistent with the seasonal pattern of above-average late-summer temperatures driven by persistent Gulf moisture and weak steering flow. Minor forecast adjustments in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer depth could shift the peak by 2–3°F, explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the upper-90s to low-100s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 7 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and dew points in the low 70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F. This places the market-implied odds near even for 96–99°F bins while leaving room for 100–101°F outcomes if daytime mixing or reduced cloud cover allows greater surface heating. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk, consistent with the seasonal pattern of above-average late-summer temperatures driven by persistent Gulf moisture and weak steering flow. Minor forecast adjustments in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer depth could shift the peak by 2–3°F, explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the upper-90s to low-100s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 7 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds and dew points in the low 70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F. This places the market-implied odds near even for 96–99°F bins while leaving room for 100–101°F outcomes if daytime mixing or reduced cloud cover allows greater surface heating. Model consensus shows minimal precipitation risk, consistent with the seasonal pattern of above-average late-summer temperatures driven by persistent Gulf moisture and weak steering flow. Minor forecast adjustments in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer depth could shift the peak by 2–3°F, explaining the tight clustering of trader probabilities across the upper-90s to low-100s range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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